2019 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 10, 2019 · Raymond James Stadium
Arizona Cardinals
27
Tampa Bay BuccaneersWinner
30
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30–27 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q3 8:20, TB +18% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(8:20) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep right to 13-C.Kirk for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q3 · 8:20TB +18% win prob(8:20) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep right to 13-C.Kirk for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q4 · 8:39TB +17% win prob(8:39) (Punt formation) 4-A.Lee pass deep left to 12-P.Cooper to TB 38 for 26 yards (39-A.Adams). Penalty on TB-39-A.Adams, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
- Q4 · 7:28TB +17% win prob(7:28) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short middle to 13-C.Kirk for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q4 · 6:46ARI +17% win prob(6:46) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 27-R.Jones to TB 43 for 8 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by ARI-32-B.Baker at ARI 44. 32-B.Baker to ARI 44 for no gain (12-C.Godwin).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Cardinals | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 64 | 78 |
| Total yards | 418 | 457 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 6.5 (edge) | 5.9 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.05 (edge) | 0.01 |
| Success rate | 36% | 38% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 73% | 71% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.10 (edge) | 0.03 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.09 | -0.02 (edge) |
| Third downs | 1/10 | 7/15 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 8 | 8 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 18 | 22 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 2 (edge) | 4 |
| Turnovers | 2 (edge) | 3 |
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TB | TB 25 | 4 | 3 | 1:19 | Interception | |
| 2 | ARI | TB 37 | 7 | 18 | 2:28 | Turnover on downs | |
| 3 | TB | TB 40 | 13 | 70 | 7:31 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | ARI | ARI 25 | 12 | 49 | 4:28 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | TB | TB 25 | 13 | 60 | 5:21 | Turnover on downs | |
| 6 | ARI | ARI 25 | 5 | -11 | 1:11 | Punt | |
| 7 | TB | TB 37 | 4 | 7 | 1:32 | Punt | |
| 8 | ARI | ARI 7 | 4 | 4 | 0:57 | Punt | |
| 9 | TB | TB 39 | 4 | 5 | 0:59 | Punt | |
| 10 | ARI | ARI 4 | 10 | 96 | 3:11 | Touchdown | |
| 11 | TB | TB 25 | 9 | 75 | 0:55 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | ARI | ARI 7 | 2 | 0 | 0:08 | End of half | |
| 13 | ARI | ARI 18 | 6 | 64 | 1:52 | Turnover on downs | |
| 14 | TB | TB 24 | 9 | 49 | 4:31 | Turnover on downs | |
| 15 | ARI | ARI 25 | 4 | 75 | 0:27 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | TB | TB 25 | 9 | 21 | 3:12 | Punt | |
| 17 | ARI | ARI 21 | 6 | 18 | 1:40 | Punt | |
| 18 | TB | TB 11 | 4 | 5 | 1:32 | Interception | |
| 19 | ARI | TB 20 | 2 | 9 | 0:32 | Fumble | |
| 20 | TB | TB 11 | 12 | 71 | 6:30 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | ARI | ARI 25 | 10 | 50 | 2:22 | Touchdown | |
| 22 | TB | TB 16 | 5 | 27 | 0:44 | Fumble | |
| 23 | ARI | ARI 44 | 6 | 41 | 2:58 | Interception | |
| 24 | TB | TB 8 | 7 | 64 | 1:57 | Touchdown | |
| 25 | ARI | ARI 25 | 6 | 5 | 1:43 | End of game |
0 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cardinals gained 96 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- TB -5.5
- Closing total
- 51
- ARI moneyline
- +207
- TB moneyline
- -235
Buccaneers closed -5.5, won by 3 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 51; the game landed 57 — over by 6.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Raymond James Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 77°F, wind 8 mph
- Referee
- Craig Wrolstad
- Rest
- ARI 10 days · TB 7 days
- Coaches
- Kliff Kingsbury vs Bruce Arians