2019 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 10, 2019 · Paul Brown Stadium
Baltimore RavensWinner
49
Cincinnati Bengals
13
Baltimore Ravens 49–13 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 15:00, CIN +7% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(15:00) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle to 15-M.Brown to CIN 26 for 49 yards (23-B.Webb).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 15:00CIN +7% win prob(15:00) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle to 15-M.Brown to CIN 26 for 49 yards (23-B.Webb).
- Q2 · 3:55BAL +4% win prob(3:55) 5-R.Finley pass short right intended for 12-A.Erickson INTERCEPTED by 24-M.Peters at BAL 11. 24-M.Peters for 89 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q1 · 10:37CIN +3% win prob(10:37) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson scrambles right end to BAL 36 for 9 yards (96-C.Dunlap).
- Q1 · 12:22CIN +3% win prob(12:22) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 89-M.Andrews for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Ravens | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 44 | 72 |
| Total yards | 380 (edge) | 307 |
| Yards per play | 8.6 (edge) | 4.3 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.54 (edge) | -0.36 |
| Success rate | 61% (edge) | 44% |
| Dropback rate | 52% | 49% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.91 (edge) | -0.67 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.14 (edge) | -0.06 |
| Third downs | 4/6 (edge) | 7/15 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 (edge) | 5 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 20 | 20 |
| Sacks taken | 1 (edge) | 2 |
| Turnovers | 1 (edge) | 3 |
Ravens won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.54 expected points added per play vs -0.36.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | BAL 25 | 7 | 75 | 2:42 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | CIN | CIN 26 | 5 | 4 | 1:02 | Punt | |
| 3 | BAL | BAL 25 | 13 | 75 | 7:22 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | CIN | CIN 24 | 11 | 57 | 5:20 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | BAL | BAL 25 | 9 | 80 | 4:06 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | CIN | CIN 25 | 11 | 60 | 5:46 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 7 | CIN | CIN 30 | 12 | 65 | 3:16 | Touchdown | |
| 8 | BAL | BAL 26 | 5 | 17 | 0:26 | End of half | |
| 9 | CIN | CIN 30 | 11 | 44 | 5:27 | Fumble | |
| 10 | BAL | BAL 36 | 4 | 64 | 1:25 | Touchdown | |
| 11 | CIN | CIN 25 | 5 | 8 | 1:27 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | BAL | CIN 33 | 5 | 33 | 1:28 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | CIN | CIN 25 | 6 | 8 | 2:59 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 14 | CIN | CIN 49 | 11 | 31 | 4:03 | Turnover on downs | |
| 15 | BAL | BAL 20 | 8 | 35 | 5:00 | Interception | |
| 16 | CIN | CIN 40 | 10 | 23 | 5:42 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | BAL | BAL 25 | 5 | 1 | 1:20 | Punt | |
| 18 | CIN | CIN 40 | 2 | 7 | 1:09 | End of game |
0 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Ravens gained 80 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- BAL -10.5
- Closing total
- 44
- BAL moneyline
- -435
- CIN moneyline
- +358
Ravens closed -10.5 and covered, winning by 36.
Total closed 44; the game landed 62 — over by 18.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Paul Brown Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 56°F, wind 9 mph
- Referee
- Scott Novak
- Rest
- BAL 7 days · CIN 14 days
- Coaches
- John Harbaugh vs Zac Taylor
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.