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2019 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 10, 2019 · Lambeau Field

Carolina Panthers

16

Green Bay PackersWinner

24

GB -5 ✓U 49 ✓

Green Bay Packers 24–16. Biggest swing: Q4 0:56, GB +14% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3GBCAR
Q4 · 0:56CAR GB CAR ball · 4th & 10GB 89%

(:56) (Shotgun) 7-K.Allen pass short left to 12-D.Moore to GB 13 for 12 yards (38-T.Williams).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 0:56GB +14% win prob(:56) (Shotgun) 7-K.Allen pass short left to 12-D.Moore to GB 13 for 12 yards (38-T.Williams).
  2. Q2 · 12:46CAR +11% win prob(12:46) 7-K.Allen FUMBLES (Aborted) at GB 47, RECOVERED by GB-90-M.Adams at GB 48. 90-M.Adams to GB 48 for no gain (7-K.Allen).
  3. Q2 · 0:02CAR +11% win prob(:02) 30-J.Williams up the middle to CAR 4 for -3 yards (93-G.McCoy).
  4. Q4 · 0:04CAR +10% win prob(:04) (Shotgun) 22-C.McCaffrey up the middle to GB 1 for 1 yard (91-P.Smith). The Replay Official reviewed the short of the goal line ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricPanthersPackers
Offensive plays7058
Total yards401 (edge)388
Yards per play5.76.7 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.020.19 (edge)
Success rate47%48% (edge)
Dropback rate70%55%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.060.18 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.200.19 (edge)
Third downs4/104/9 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)59 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps25 (edge)19
Sacks taken32 (edge)
Turnovers20 (edge)

Panthers outgained Packers 401–388 but lost the turnover battle 2–0. That was the game.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1CARCAR 358233:16Punt
2GBGB 104121:52Punt
3CARCAR 476532:34Touchdown
4GBGB 259553:43Touchdown
5CARCAR 259433:40Turnover on downs
6GBGB 25581:34Punt
7CARCAR 45290:41Fumble
8GBGB 487523:20Touchdown
9CARCAR 288244:13Punt
10GBGB 1013705:07End of half
11GBGB 257843:10Touchdown
12CARCAR 811764:40Interception
13GBGB 2011565:49Turnover on downs
14CARCAR 1812824:23Touchdown
15GBGB 257262:41Punt
16CARCAR 8682:46Punt
17GBGB 427254:06Punt
18CARCAR 1118832:25End of game

0 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Packers gained 84 scrimmage yards over 7 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
GB -5
Closing total
49
CAR moneyline
+200
GB moneyline
-227

Packers closed -5 and covered, winning by 8.

Total closed 49; the game landed 40 — under by 9.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lambeau Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
34°F, wind 6 mph
Referee
Jerome Boger
Rest
CAR 7 days · GB 7 days
Coaches
Ron Rivera vs Matt LaFleur