2019 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 10, 2019 · Soldier Field
Detroit Lions
13
Chicago BearsWinner
20
Chicago Bears 20–13. Biggest swing: Q2 0:32, CHI +14% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(:32) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right to 82-B.Braunecker for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q2 · 0:32CHI +14% win prob(:32) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right to 82-B.Braunecker for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q1 · 10:57CHI +9% win prob(10:57) (Shotgun) 2-J.Driskel pass deep left to 11-M.Jones to CHI 20 for 22 yards (39-E.Jackson).
- Q2 · 8:23DET +7% win prob(8:23) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky sacked at CHI 8 for -3 yards (96-M.Daniels).
- Q2 · 6:28CHI +7% win prob(6:28) (Shotgun) 2-J.Driskel pass short right to 11-M.Jones to CHI 34 for 12 yards (23-K.Fuller; 20-P.Amukamara). CHI-20-P.Amukamara was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Lions | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 73 | 52 |
| Total yards | 357 (edge) | 226 |
| Yards per play | 4.9 (edge) | 4.3 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.16 | -0.07 (edge) |
| Success rate | 36% | 38% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 68% | 56% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.12 | -0.08 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.23 | -0.06 (edge) |
| Third downs | 7/17 (edge) | 2/12 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 5 (edge) | 2 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 17 (edge) | 11 |
| Sacks taken | 2 (edge) | 5 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 (edge) |
Lions outgained Bears 357–226 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DET | DET 24 | 14 | 72 | 6:18 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | CHI | CHI 23 | 5 | 7 | 2:06 | Punt | |
| 3 | DET | DET 26 | 7 | 19 | 3:31 | Punt | |
| 4 | CHI | CHI 10 | 7 | 12 | 3:24 | Punt | |
| 5 | DET | DET 39 | 4 | 9 | 1:37 | Punt | |
| 6 | CHI | CHI 4 | 4 | 9 | 1:49 | Punt | |
| 7 | DET | CHI 44 | 5 | 12 | 2:13 | Punt | |
| 8 | CHI | CHI 11 | 4 | -3 | 1:28 | Punt | |
| 9 | DET | CHI 49 | 7 | 18 | 2:54 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | CHI | CHI 20 | 12 | 76 | 4:15 | Touchdown | |
| 11 | DET | DET 30 | 4 | 20 | 0:25 | End of half | |
| 12 | CHI | CHI 24 | 7 | 54 | 2:35 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | DET | DET 18 | 4 | 8 | 1:27 | Interception | |
| 14 | CHI | DET 25 | 4 | 25 | 1:20 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | DET | DET 25 | 13 | 36 | 6:12 | Punt | |
| 16 | CHI | CHI 12 | 4 | 8 | 1:36 | Punt | |
| 17 | DET | DET 32 | 4 | 7 | 1:50 | Punt | |
| 18 | CHI | CHI 26 | 8 | 22 | 4:18 | Punt | |
| 19 | DET | DET 12 | 4 | -1 | 1:05 | Punt | |
| 20 | CHI | CHI 29 | 4 | 7 | 2:21 | Punt | |
| 21 | DET | DET 19 | 5 | 81 | 1:23 | Touchdown | |
| 22 | CHI | CHI 30 | 5 | 1 | 2:22 | Punt | |
| 23 | DET | DET 48 | 5 | 11 | 1:18 | Turnover on downs | |
| 24 | CHI | CHI 46 | 4 | 8 | 0:32 | Punt | |
| 25 | DET | DET 10 | 12 | 65 | 1:41 | Turnover on downs |
0 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Lions gained 81 scrimmage yards over 5 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- CHI -6
- Closing total
- 38
- DET moneyline
- +235
- CHI moneyline
- -270
Bears closed -6 and covered, winning by 7.
Total closed 38; the game landed 33 — under by 5.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Soldier Field
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 40°F, wind 12 mph
- Referee
- Carl Cheffers
- Rest
- DET 7 days · CHI 7 days
- Coaches
- Matt Patricia vs Matt Nagy
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.