2019 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 10, 2019 · Nissan Stadium

Kansas City Chiefs

Tennessee TitansWinner

KC -5 upsetO 49 ✓Chiefs closed -5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Tennessee Titans 35–32 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:03, KC +45% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 0:03KC — TEN KC ball · 3rd & 5TEN 55%

(:03) (Field Goal formation) 7-H.Butker 52 yard field goal is BLOCKED (46-J.Kalu), Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt, RECOVERED by TEN-36-L.Sims at KC 47. 36-L.Sims to KC 33 for 14 yards (42-A.Sherman).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 0:03KC +45% win prob(:03) (Field Goal formation) 7-H.Butker 52 yard field goal is BLOCKED (46-J.Kalu), Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt, RECOVERED by TEN-36-L.Sims at KC 47. 36-L.Sims to KC 33 for 14 yards (42-A.Sherman).
Q4 · 0:29TEN +37% win prob(:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep middle to 10-A.Humphries for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 6:28KC +26% win prob(6:28) (Shotgun) 26-Dam.Williams up the middle to TEN 45 for -1 yards (51-D.Long). FUMBLES (51-D.Long), RECOVERED by TEN-54-R.Evans at TEN 47. 54-R.Evans for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · 6:10TEN +22% win prob(6:10) 22-D.Henry up the middle for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Chiefs	Titans
Offensive plays	78	50
Total yards	530 (edge)	373
Yards per play	6.8	7.5 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.14	0.17 (edge)
Success rate	55% (edge)	54%
Dropback rate	68%	50%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.42 (edge)	0.01
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.44	0.32 (edge)
Third downs	7/14 (edge)	2/9
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	9	11 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	26 (edge)	17
Sacks taken	2 (edge)	4
Turnovers	1	1

Titans won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.17 expected points added per play vs 0.14.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	KC	KC 31	14	84	5:41	Touchdown
2	TEN	TEN 25	4	-5	1:31	Fumble
3	KC	TEN 20	4	38	3:05	Turnover on downs
4	TEN	TEN 25	8	21	3:55	Punt
5	KC	KC 8	10	39	3:51	Punt
6	TEN	TEN 27	5	73	1:34	Touchdown
7	KC	KC 15	8	38	4:09	Defensive touchdown
8	KC	KC 25	11	52	5:02	Turnover on downs
9	TEN	TEN 10	7	25	0:56	Punt
10	KC	KC 4	1	3	0:16	End of half
11	TEN	TEN 13	6	23	2:26	Punt
12	KC	KC 23	11	72	5:40	Touchdown
13	TEN	TEN 26	4	74	0:56	Touchdown
14	KC	KC 25	11	41	4:00	Turnover on downs
15	TEN	TEN 25	8	12	2:58	Punt
16	KC	KC 21	6	79	2:06	Touchdown
17	TEN	TEN 25	12	75	5:28	Touchdown
18	KC	KC 26	8	53	3:12	Turnover on downs
19	TEN	TEN 25	6	12	1:26	Turnover on downs
20	KC	TEN 32	4	3	0:27	Turnover on downs
21	TEN	TEN 39	5	63	0:58	Touchdown
22	KC	KC 38	5	28	0:23	Turnover on downs

0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chiefs gained 84 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: KC -5
Closing total: 49
KC moneyline: -233
TEN moneyline: +205

Chiefs closed -5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 49; the game landed 67 — over by 18.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Nissan Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 63°F, wind 9 mph
Referee: Tony Corrente
Rest: KC 7 days · TEN 7 days
Coaches: Andy Reid vs Mike Vrabel