2019 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 10, 2019 · Heinz Field

Los Angeles Rams

Pittsburgh SteelersWinner

LA -4 upsetU 43 ✓Rams closed -4 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Pittsburgh Steelers 17–12. Biggest swing: Q4 1:30, LA +27% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 1:30LA — PIT LA ball · 4th & 10PIT 68%

(1:30) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete deep right to 83-J.Reynolds (34-Te.Edmunds).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 1:30LA +27% win prob(1:30) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete deep right to 83-J.Reynolds (34-Te.Edmunds).
Q2 · 1:56LA +24% win prob(1:56) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff sacked at LA 32 for -9 yards (79-J.Hargrave). FUMBLES (79-J.Hargrave) [79-J.Hargrave], RECOVERED by PIT-39-M.Fitzpatrick at LA 43. 39-M.Fitzpatrick for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 12:46LA +15% win prob(12:46) 72-Z.Banner reported in as eligible. 2-M.Rudolph sacked in End Zone for -5 yards, SAFETY (99-A.Donald).
Q1 · 14:53LA +14% win prob(14:53) (Shotgun) 2-M.Rudolph Aborted. 53-M.Pouncey FUMBLES at PIT 35, RECOVERED by LA-56-D.Fowler at PIT 26. 56-D.Fowler for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Rams	Steelers
Offensive plays	69	67
Total yards	306 (edge)	274
Yards per play	4.4 (edge)	4.1
Expected points added / play	-0.42	-0.36 (edge)
Success rate	36% (edge)	28%
Dropback rate	67%	61%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.47	-0.09 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.31 (edge)	-0.78
Third downs	1/14	5/16 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4 (edge)	3
First downs gained on snaps	13	13
Sacks taken	4	3 (edge)
Turnovers	4	2 (edge)

Rams outgained Steelers 306–274 but lost the turnover battle 4–2. That was the game.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PIT	PIT 25	3	0	0:14	Defensive touchdown
2	PIT	PIT 23	5	1	1:38	Punt
3	LA	LA 16	6	19	2:24	Punt
4	PIT	PIT 32	7	24	3:18	Punt
5	LA	LA 16	6	26	2:38	Punt
6	PIT	PIT 18	10	73	4:14	Touchdown
7	LA	LA 23	5	-8	1:18	Punt
8	PIT	PIT 14	9	36	4:50	Punt
9	LA	LA 15	6	23	2:24	Punt
10	PIT	PIT 10	5	18	1:30	Punt
11	LA	LA 29	5	26	3:01	Punt
12	PIT	PIT 31	2	34	0:16	Fumble
13	LA	LA 38	3	8	0:31	Defensive touchdown
14	LA	LA 25	5	0	0:20	Punt
15	PIT	PIT 20	4	5	0:27	Punt
16	LA	LA 34	6	38	0:57	Turnover on downs
17	LA	LA 26	6	24	1:31	Interception
18	PIT	PIT 25	7	18	3:51	Punt
19	LA	LA 20	4	9	1:52	Interception
20	PIT	LA 31	5	0	2:03	Punt
21	LA	LA 12	11	78	5:32	Turnover on downs
22	PIT	PIT 25	5	3	0:29	Punt
23	LA	LA 30	4	18	1:56	Punt
24	PIT	PIT 5	1	-5	0:06	Turnover on downs
25	LA	LA 32	5	6	1:54	Punt
26	PIT	PIT 25	14	65	8:00	Turnover on downs
27	LA	LA 34	9	36	1:21	Turnover on downs
28	PIT	PIT 30	4	2	0:24	Punt
29	LA	LA 40	3	3	0:41	Interception
30	PIT	LA 41	1	0	0:20	End of game

0 of 30 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 78 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a turnover on downs.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LA -4
Closing total: 43
LA moneyline: -214
PIT moneyline: +189

Rams closed -4 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 43; the game landed 29 — under by 14.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Heinz Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 55°F, wind 12 mph
Referee: Shawn Smith
Rest: LA 14 days · PIT 7 days
Coaches: Sean McVay vs Mike Tomlin