2019 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 10, 2019 · AT&T Stadium
Minnesota VikingsWinner
28
Dallas Cowboys
24
Minnesota Vikings 28–24. Biggest swing: Q4 0:44, MIN +43% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(:44) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 21-E.Elliott (54-E.Kendricks).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 0:44MIN +43% win prob(:44) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 21-E.Elliott (54-E.Kendricks).
- Q3 · 0:06DAL +15% win prob(:06) 33-D.Cook right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. DAL-99-A.Woods was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.
- Q4 · 1:06MIN +11% win prob(1:06) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 21-E.Elliott left end to MIN 14 for -3 yards (95-I.Odenigbo).
- Q4 · 3:10DAL +11% win prob(3:10) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 19-A.Cooper to MIN 31 for 20 yards (21-M.Hughes).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Vikings | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 70 | 70 |
| Total yards | 366 | 443 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 5.2 | 6.3 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.24 (edge) | 0.17 |
| Success rate | 47% (edge) | 43% |
| Dropback rate | 50% | 69% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.34 | 0.42 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.13 (edge) | -0.38 |
| Third downs | 8/14 | 9/15 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 8 | 9 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 25 (edge) | 22 |
| Sacks taken | 1 | 1 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
Vikings won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.24 expected points added per play vs 0.17.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DAL | DAL 25 | 10 | 36 | 2:57 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | MIN | MIN 47 | 6 | 48 | 2:38 | Touchdown | |
| 3 | DAL | DAL 25 | 8 | 27 | 2:34 | Punt | |
| 4 | MIN | MIN 10 | 14 | 76 | 6:19 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | DAL | DAL 25 | 8 | 35 | 2:01 | Punt | |
| 6 | MIN | MIN 6 | 6 | 10 | 2:51 | Punt | |
| 7 | DAL | MIN 48 | 6 | 48 | 2:32 | Touchdown | |
| 8 | MIN | MIN 27 | 5 | 3 | 1:35 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 9 | DAL | DAL 17 | 12 | 83 | 4:39 | Touchdown | |
| 10 | MIN | MIN 25 | 10 | 67 | 1:54 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | MIN | MIN 25 | 13 | 56 | 5:22 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | DAL | DAL 25 | 9 | 60 | 2:37 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | MIN | MIN 25 | 15 | 82 | 6:59 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | DAL | DAL 25 | 14 | 65 | 5:02 | Turnover on downs | |
| 15 | MIN | MIN 25 | 10 | 28 | 5:26 | Punt | |
| 16 | DAL | DAL 6 | 11 | 80 | 3:54 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | MIN | MIN 14 | 4 | -4 | 0:23 | Punt | |
| 18 | DAL | DAL 46 | 4 | 9 | 0:17 | Interception |
0 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 83 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- DAL -3.5
- Closing total
- 48.5
- MIN moneyline
- +160
- DAL moneyline
- -179
Cowboys closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 48.5; the game landed 52 — over by 3.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- AT&T Stadium
- Roof / surface
- closed · fieldturf
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Shawn Hochuli
- Rest
- MIN 7 days · DAL 6 days
- Coaches
- Mike Zimmer vs Jason Garrett