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2019 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 10, 2019 · MetLife Stadium

New York Giants

27

New York JetsWinner

34

NYG -3 upsetO 43 ✓

New York Jets 34–27. Biggest swing: Q3 14:23, NYG +23% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3NYJNYG
Q3 · 14:23NYG NYJ NYG ball · 3rd & 1NYG 57%

(14:23) 8-D.Jones sacked at NYG 25 for -9 yards (33-J.Adams). FUMBLES (33-J.Adams) [33-J.Adams], RECOVERED by NYJ-33-J.Adams at NYG 25. 33-J.Adams for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q3 · 14:23NYG +23% win prob(14:23) 8-D.Jones sacked at NYG 25 for -9 yards (33-J.Adams). FUMBLES (33-J.Adams) [33-J.Adams], RECOVERED by NYJ-33-J.Adams at NYG 25. 33-J.Adams for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q3 · 12:01NYJ +22% win prob(12:01) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short right to 15-G.Tate for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q2 · 5:33NYJ +16% win prob(5:33) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short right to 86-D.Slayton for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q4 · 15:00NYJ +12% win prob(15:00) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete deep left to 11-Ro.Anderson (27-D.Baker). PENALTY on NYG-27-D.Baker, Defensive Pass Interference, 33 yards, enforced at NYG 34 - No Play.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricGiantsJets
Offensive plays6560
Total yards283295 (edge)
Yards per play4.44.9 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.060.01 (edge)
Success rate29%32% (edge)
Dropback rate77%55%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.140.22 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.75-0.25 (edge)
Third downs9/18 (edge)4/13
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)55
First downs gained on snaps1515
Sacks taken62 (edge)
Turnovers20 (edge)

Jets won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.01 expected points added per play vs -0.06.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1NYJNYJ 2515717:39Touchdown
2NYGNYG 185-101:41Punt
3NYJ5010504:05Touchdown
4NYGNYG 2510504:09Touchdown
5NYJNYJ 257-92:57Punt
6NYGNYG 398564:05Touchdown
7NYJNYJ 175111:49Punt
8NYGNYG 30491:41Turnover on downs
9NYJNYG 39430:29Turnover on downs
10NYGNYG 44421:11Punt
11NYJNYJ 20100:14End of half
12NYGNYG 25400:47Defensive touchdown
13NYGNYG 257752:22Touchdown
14NYJNYJ 255-11:29Punt
15NYGNYG 3610715:01Touchdown
16NYJNYJ 1910463:39Turnover on downs
17NYGNYG 255-80:49Punt
18NYJNYJ 304371:01Touchdown
19NYGNYG 258192:49Punt
20NYJNYJ 78764:27Turnover on downs
21NYGNYG 17882:46Punt
22NYJNYJ 27490:33Punt
23NYGNYG 124-41:37Punt
24NYJ50422:22Punt
25NYGNYG 163150:18Fumble

0 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Jets gained 76 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a turnover on downs.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
NYG -3
Closing total
43
NYG moneyline
-147
NYJ moneyline
+133

Giants closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 43; the game landed 61 — over by 18.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
48°F, wind 8 mph
Referee
John Hussey
Rest
NYG 6 days · NYJ 7 days
Coaches
Pat Shurmur vs Adam Gase