2019 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 17, 2019 · U.S. Bank Stadium
Denver Broncos
23
Minnesota VikingsWinner
27
Minnesota Vikings 27–23. Biggest swing: Q4 0:02, DEN +31% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(:02) (Shotgun) 2-B.Allen pass incomplete short right to 87-N.Fant.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 0:02DEN +31% win prob(:02) (Shotgun) 2-B.Allen pass incomplete short right to 87-N.Fant.
- Q4 · 1:57MIN +17% win prob(1:57) (Shotgun) 2-B.Allen pass short middle to 81-T.Patrick to MIN 24 for 6 yards (21-M.Hughes).
- Q4 · 8:19DEN +16% win prob(8:19) 8-B.McManus 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-C.Wadman.
- Q4 · 6:10MIN +16% win prob(6:10) (No Huddle) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 82-K.Rudolph for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Broncos | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 75 | 59 |
| Total yards | 394 (edge) | 321 |
| Yards per play | 5.3 | 5.4 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.06 | 0.06 (edge) |
| Success rate | 41% | 47% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 57% | 69% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.08 | 0.17 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.02 (edge) | -0.19 |
| Third downs | 5/18 | 5/12 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 8 (edge) | 5 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 17 | 19 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 2 (edge) | 5 |
| Turnovers | 1 (edge) | 2 |
Vikings won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.06 expected points added per play vs -0.06.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEN | DEN 25 | 7 | 51 | 3:28 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | MIN | MIN 25 | 5 | 9 | 1:30 | Punt | |
| 3 | DEN | DEN 20 | 4 | -1 | 0:59 | Punt | |
| 4 | MIN | MIN 45 | 4 | 8 | 2:01 | Punt | |
| 5 | DEN | DEN 10 | 7 | 66 | 2:23 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | MIN | MIN 22 | 7 | 4 | 2:12 | Punt | |
| 7 | DEN | DEN 31 | 11 | 69 | 5:06 | Touchdown | |
| 8 | MIN | MIN 25 | 8 | 17 | 3:53 | Punt | |
| 9 | DEN | DEN 16 | 10 | 26 | 5:23 | Punt | |
| 10 | MIN | MIN 20 | 1 | -8 | 0:25 | Fumble | |
| 11 | DEN | MIN 17 | 4 | 6 | 1:34 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | MIN | — | 1 | 0 | 0:06 | Fumble | |
| 13 | DEN | MIN 17 | 1 | 0 | 0:08 | Interception | |
| 14 | MIN | MIN 23 | 6 | 17 | 0:52 | Punt | |
| 15 | MIN | MIN 25 | 11 | 75 | 3:31 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | DEN | DEN 25 | 13 | 52 | 7:06 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | MIN | MIN 25 | 20 | 70 | 5:58 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | DEN | DEN 25 | 5 | 4 | 2:29 | Punt | |
| 19 | MIN | MIN 38 | 4 | 62 | 0:35 | Touchdown | |
| 20 | DEN | DEN 25 | 7 | 50 | 2:06 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | MIN | MIN 33 | 6 | 67 | 2:14 | Touchdown | |
| 22 | DEN | DEN 40 | 20 | 71 | 6:01 | End of game |
0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Vikings gained 75 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- MIN -10
- Closing total
- 40.5
- DEN moneyline
- +341
- MIN moneyline
- -412
Vikings closed -10, won by 4 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 40.5; the game landed 50 — over by 9.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- U.S. Bank Stadium
- Roof / surface
- dome · sportturf
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Clay Martin
- Rest
- DEN 14 days · MIN 7 days
- Coaches
- Vic Fangio vs Mike Zimmer