2019 Week 11 · Thu, Nov 14, 2019 · FirstEnergy Stadium

Pittsburgh Steelers

Cleveland BrownsWinner

CLE -3 ✓U 41.5 ✓Browns closed -3 and covered, winning by 14.

Cleveland Browns 21–7. Biggest swing: Q4 6:32, PIT +9% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 6:32PIT — CLE PIT ball · 1st & 10CLE 87%

(6:32) (Shotgun) 2-M.Rudolph pass short middle intended for 13-J.Washington INTERCEPTED by 53-J.Schobert at PIT 24. 53-J.Schobert to PIT 4 for 20 yards (2-M.Rudolph).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 6:32PIT +9% win prob(6:32) (Shotgun) 2-M.Rudolph pass short middle intended for 13-J.Washington INTERCEPTED by 53-J.Schobert at PIT 24. 53-J.Schobert to PIT 4 for 20 yards (2-M.Rudolph).
Q1 · 11:34CLE +9% win prob(11:34) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep middle to 13-O.Beckham for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 6-B.Mayfield pass deep middle to 13-O.Beckham to PIT 1 for 42 yards (22-S.Nelson).
Q1 · 9:24CLE +7% win prob(9:24) (Shotgun) 2-M.Rudolph pass incomplete deep right to 13-J.Washington. PENALTY on CLE-21-D.Ward, Defensive Pass Interference, 33 yards, enforced at PIT 34 - No Play. Penalty on CLE-26-G.Williams, Illegal Use of Hands, declined.
Q4 · 13:29PIT +6% win prob(13:29) (Shotgun) 2-M.Rudolph pass incomplete short right to 80-J.Holton (92-C.Thomas) [53-J.Schobert].

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Steelers	Browns
Offensive plays	64	67
Total yards	236	294 (edge)
Yards per play	3.7	4.4 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.52	-0.11 (edge)
Success rate	39% (edge)	34%
Dropback rate	77%	49%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.58	0.03 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.35	-0.24 (edge)
Third downs	2/11	6/16 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4	7 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	13	16 (edge)
Sacks taken	4	1 (edge)
Turnovers	4	0 (edge)

Browns won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.11 expected points added per play vs -0.52.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PIT	PIT 22	5	0	1:41	Punt
2	CLE	CLE 35	6	65	2:12	Touchdown
3	PIT	PIT 21	8	30	3:20	Turnover on downs
4	CLE	CLE 34	8	23	3:42	Punt
5	PIT	PIT 20	6	23	2:39	Punt
6	CLE	CLE 23	4	6	0:57	Punt
7	PIT	PIT 22	4	8	1:31	Punt
8	CLE	CLE 23	8	71	4:03	Touchdown
9	PIT	PIT 25	7	19	3:18	Turnover on downs
10	CLE	CLE 46	4	6	1:05	Punt
11	PIT	PIT 30	4	11	2:03	Interception
12	CLE	PIT 30	4	3	0:58	Turnover on downs
13	PIT	PIT 35	7	13	1:39	Punt
14	CLE	CLE 7	2	8	0:52	End of half
15	CLE	CLE 27	7	14	3:49	Punt
16	PIT	PIT 20	4	11	1:27	Interception
17	CLE	PIT 49	4	4	1:33	Punt
18	PIT	PIT 13	6	34	2:32	Touchdown
19	CLE	CLE 26	13	43	5:39	Turnover on downs
20	PIT	PIT 40	5	28	1:35	Turnover on downs
21	CLE	CLE 33	4	5	2:12	Punt
22	PIT	PIT 12	4	8	1:01	Punt
23	CLE	CLE 27	8	25	3:40	Punt
24	PIT	PIT 9	1	0	0:10	Interception
25	CLE	PIT 4	4	4	0:57	Touchdown
26	PIT	PIT 25	7	38	1:31	Interception
27	CLE	CLE 49	6	17	2:14	Punt
28	PIT	PIT 11	7	13	1:35	Turnover on downs
29	CLE	PIT 24	1	0	0:05	End of game

0 of 29 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 71 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CLE -3
Closing total: 41.5
PIT moneyline: +146
CLE moneyline: -163

Browns closed -3 and covered, winning by 14.

Total closed 41.5; the game landed 28 — under by 13.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: FirstEnergy Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 36°F, wind 10 mph
Referee: Clete Blakeman
Rest: PIT 4 days · CLE 4 days
Coaches: Mike Tomlin vs Freddie Kitchens

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.