2019 Week 12 · Mon, Nov 25, 2019 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Baltimore RavensWinner

Los Angeles Rams

BAL -3.5 ✓O 47 ✓Ravens closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 39.

Baltimore Ravens 45–6 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 7:51, LA +8% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 7:51BAL — LA BAL ball · 3rd & 4BAL 73%

(7:51) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 15-M.Brown for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 7:51LA +8% win prob(7:51) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 15-M.Brown for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 12:15LA +5% win prob(12:15) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end pushed ob at LA 25 for 16 yards (24-T.Rapp).
Q1 · 13:50BAL +4% win prob(13:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete short left to 18-C.Kupp [54-T.Bowser].
Q1 · 1:37LA +4% win prob(1:37) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle to 15-M.Brown for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Ravens	Rams
Offensive plays	71	47
Total yards	483 (edge)	222
Yards per play	6.8 (edge)	4.7
Expected points added / play	0.50 (edge)	-0.22
Success rate	55% (edge)	36%
Dropback rate	39%	83%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.81 (edge)	-0.24
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.29 (edge)	-0.12
Third downs	9/14 (edge)	2/9
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	14 (edge)	4
First downs gained on snaps	30 (edge)	10
Sacks taken	3	2 (edge)
Turnovers	0 (edge)	2

Ravens won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.50 expected points added per play vs -0.22.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	LA	LA 25	5	2	1:25	Punt
2	BAL	BAL 45	10	60	5:48	Touchdown
3	LA	LA 25	5	3	2:27	Punt
4	BAL	BAL 39	8	61	3:49	Touchdown
5	LA	LA 25	16	56	6:46	Turnover on downs
6	BAL	BAL 25	10	70	5:03	Touchdown
7	LA	LA 24	7	39	2:47	Turnover on downs
8	BAL	BAL 25	9	60	1:43	Touchdown
9	LA	LA 29	2	0	0:12	End of half
10	BAL	BAL 25	12	75	5:14	Touchdown
11	LA	LA 25	5	8	0:59	Punt
12	BAL	BAL 22	18	104	9:04	Touchdown
13	LA	LA 25	9	40	2:07	Interception
14	BAL	BAL 36	11	48	6:01	Turnover on downs
15	LA	LA 25	5	10	1:40	Punt
16	BAL	BAL 37	4	5	1:46	Punt
17	LA	LA 14	8	64	1:41	Interception
18	BAL	BAL 21	3	0	1:28	End of game

0 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Ravens gained 104 scrimmage yards over 18 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: BAL -3.5
Closing total: 47
BAL moneyline: -162
LA moneyline: +145

Ravens closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 39.

Total closed 47; the game landed 51 — over by 4.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 62°F, wind 5 mph
Referee: Craig Wrolstad
Rest: BAL 8 days · LA 8 days
Coaches: John Harbaugh vs Sean McVay