2019 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 24, 2019 · Levi's Stadium
Green Bay Packers
8
San Francisco 49ersWinner
37
San Francisco 49ers 37–8 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 13:17, GB +17% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(13:17) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 14 for -11 yards (54-F.Warner). FUMBLES (54-F.Warner) [54-F.Warner], touched at GB 12, RECOVERED by SF-97-N.Bosa at GB 8. 97-N.Bosa to GB 2 for 6 yards (69-D.Bakhtiari). 5-yds
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 13:17GB +17% win prob(13:17) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 14 for -11 yards (54-F.Warner). FUMBLES (54-F.Warner) [54-F.Warner], touched at GB 12, RECOVERED by SF-97-N.Bosa at GB 8. 97-N.Bosa to GB 2 for 6 yards (69-D.Bakhtiari). 5-yds loose ball yardage on fumble.
- Q2 · 7:31SF +5% win prob(7:31) (Shotgun) 30-J.Williams up the middle to GB 17 for 8 yards (54-F.Warner). PENALTY on SF-99-D.Buckner, Lowering the Head to Initiate Contact, 15 yards, enforced at GB 17.
- Q1 · 12:27GB +4% win prob(12:27) 33-A.Jones right tackle to GB 31 for -1 yards (93-D.Jones, 51-A.Al-Shaair).
- Q1 · 0:06GB +3% win prob(:06) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo sacked at SF 34 for -7 yards (50-B.Martinez).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Packers | 49ers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 71 | 44 |
| Total yards | 200 | 339 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 2.8 | 7.7 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.32 | 0.17 (edge) |
| Success rate | 32% | 43% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 65% | 52% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.35 | 0.33 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.25 | -0.00 (edge) |
| Third downs | 1/15 | 3/9 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 3 | 9 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 14 | 15 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 5 | 3 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 (edge) |
49ers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.17 expected points added per play vs -0.32.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GB | GB 25 | 6 | 2 | 1:53 | Fumble | |
| 2 | SF | GB 2 | 2 | 2 | 0:05 | Touchdown | |
| 3 | GB | GB 25 | 5 | 6 | 1:33 | Punt | |
| 4 | SF | SF 38 | 6 | 25 | 2:55 | Punt | |
| 5 | GB | GB 12 | 4 | 1 | 1:38 | Punt | |
| 6 | SF | SF 49 | 7 | 35 | 3:43 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | GB | GB 25 | 5 | 7 | 1:56 | Punt | |
| 8 | SF | SF 37 | 4 | -3 | 1:24 | Punt | |
| 9 | GB | GB 20 | 8 | 52 | 3:47 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | SF | SF 28 | 4 | -5 | 1:57 | Punt | |
| 11 | GB | GB 34 | 7 | -5 | 2:58 | Punt | |
| 12 | SF | SF 32 | 7 | 59 | 3:16 | Turnover on downs | |
| 13 | GB | GB 25 | 5 | 4 | 0:59 | Punt | |
| 14 | SF | SF 39 | 4 | 61 | 0:58 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | GB | GB 26 | 5 | -7 | 0:34 | Punt | |
| 16 | SF | SF 48 | 4 | 22 | 0:24 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | SF | SF 25 | 5 | -1 | 2:34 | Punt | |
| 18 | GB | GB 35 | 14 | 54 | 8:34 | Touchdown | |
| 19 | SF | SF 25 | 4 | 75 | 0:57 | Touchdown | |
| 20 | GB | GB 25 | 13 | 37 | 6:26 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | SF | SF 31 | 11 | 69 | 6:31 | Touchdown | |
| 22 | GB | GB 25 | 12 | 49 | 4:58 | End of game |
0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: 49ers gained 75 scrimmage yards over 4 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- SF -3
- Closing total
- 48
- GB moneyline
- +156
- SF moneyline
- -175
49ers closed -3 and covered, winning by 29.
Total closed 48; the game landed 45 — under by 3.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Levi's Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 63°F, wind 7 mph
- Referee
- Carl Cheffers
- Rest
- GB 14 days · SF 7 days
- Coaches
- Matt LaFleur vs Kyle Shanahan