2019 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 24, 2019 · FirstEnergy Stadium
Miami Dolphins
24
Cleveland BrownsWinner
41
Cleveland Browns 41–24 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 6:37, MIA +4% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(6:37) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield FUMBLES (Aborted) at CLE 35, and recovers at CLE 35. 6-B.Mayfield to CLE 35 for no gain (33-J.Wiltz).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 6:37MIA +4% win prob(6:37) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield FUMBLES (Aborted) at CLE 35, and recovers at CLE 35. 6-B.Mayfield to CLE 35 for no gain (33-J.Wiltz).
- Q1 · 15:00CLE +4% win prob(15:00) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 24-N.Chubb to MIA 43 for 32 yards (26-S.Parker).
- Q1 · 5:46CLE +3% win prob(5:46) (Punt formation) 7-J.Gillan punts 37 yards to MIA 28, Center-47-C.Hughlett. 48-M.Sherels pushed ob at MIA 34 for 6 yards (31-J.Burris). PENALTY on MIA-33-J.Wiltz, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at MIA 28.
- Q1 · 1:59CLE +3% win prob(1:59) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep middle to 13-O.Beckham for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Dolphins | Browns |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 62 | 66 |
| Total yards | 284 | 468 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 4.6 | 7.1 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.05 | 0.24 (edge) |
| Success rate | 39% | 56% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 77% | 53% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.02 | 0.39 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.30 | 0.08 (edge) |
| Third downs | 6/14 | 4/8 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 | 6 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 19 | 24 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 4 | 1 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 (edge) |
Browns won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.24 expected points added per play vs -0.05.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CLE | CLE 25 | 10 | 72 | 5:01 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | MIA | MIA 40 | 5 | -7 | 1:20 | Punt | |
| 3 | CLE | CLE 23 | 7 | 42 | 3:03 | Punt | |
| 4 | MIA | MIA 18 | 4 | 1 | 0:51 | Punt | |
| 5 | CLE | CLE 40 | 6 | 55 | 2:54 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | MIA | MIA 25 | 7 | 20 | 2:41 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | CLE | MIA 44 | 7 | 34 | 3:39 | Touchdown | |
| 8 | MIA | MIA 25 | 10 | 44 | 4:45 | Interception | |
| 9 | CLE | CLE 27 | 10 | 63 | 4:45 | Touchdown | |
| 10 | MIA | MIA 19 | 10 | 63 | 1:01 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | MIA | MIA 25 | 5 | 4 | 0:56 | Punt | |
| 12 | CLE | CLE 22 | 3 | 20 | 1:30 | Interception | |
| 13 | MIA | CLE 46 | 8 | 46 | 2:57 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | CLE | CLE 25 | 11 | 48 | 5:33 | Turnover on downs | |
| 15 | MIA | MIA 36 | 12 | 49 | 4:00 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | CLE | CLE 15 | 11 | 38 | 3:43 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | MIA | MIA 25 | 5 | 1 | 1:33 | Punt | |
| 18 | CLE | CLE 25 | 8 | 67 | 2:57 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | MIA | MIA 25 | 4 | -10 | 1:03 | Interception | |
| 20 | CLE | MIA 38 | 5 | 29 | 2:22 | Touchdown | |
| 21 | MIA | MIA 22 | 9 | 73 | 2:47 | Touchdown | |
| 22 | CLE | CLE 34 | 2 | 0 | 0:39 | End of game |
0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Dolphins gained 73 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- CLE -11
- Closing total
- 45.5
- MIA moneyline
- +365
- CLE moneyline
- -446
Browns closed -11 and covered, winning by 17.
Total closed 45.5; the game landed 65 — over by 19.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- FirstEnergy Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 39°F, wind 14 mph
- Referee
- Bradley Rogers
- Rest
- MIA 7 days · CLE 10 days
- Coaches
- Brian Flores vs Freddie Kitchens