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2019 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 24, 2019 · Soldier Field

New York Giants

14

Chicago BearsWinner

19

CHI -6 no coverU 41 ✓

Chicago Bears 19–14. Biggest swing: Q3 7:02, NYG +12% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3CHINYG
Q3 · 7:02NYG CHI NYG ball · 1st & 10CHI 80%

(7:02) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones sacked at NYG 14 for -9 yards (52-K.Mack). FUMBLES (52-K.Mack) [52-K.Mack], RECOVERED by CHI-97-N.Williams at NYG 7. 97-N.Williams to NYG 3 for 4 yards (70-K.Zeitler).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q3 · 7:02NYG +12% win prob(7:02) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones sacked at NYG 14 for -9 yards (52-K.Mack). FUMBLES (52-K.Mack) [52-K.Mack], RECOVERED by CHI-97-N.Williams at NYG 7. 97-N.Williams to NYG 3 for 4 yards (70-K.Zeitler).
  2. Q3 · 12:19CHI +11% win prob(12:19) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep middle to 12-A.Robinson for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q2 · 5:50NYG +10% win prob(5:50) (Field Goal formation) 2-A.Rosas 42 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
  4. Q4 · 4:17CHI +10% win prob(4:17) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass deep left to 15-G.Tate for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN [52-K.Mack].

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricGiantsBears
Offensive plays5866
Total yards243338 (edge)
Yards per play4.25.1 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.26-0.14 (edge)
Success rate33%39% (edge)
Dropback rate67%70%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.34-0.08 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.09 (edge)-0.30
Third downs1/124/14 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)57 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1319 (edge)
Sacks taken1 (edge)2
Turnovers1 (edge)2

Bears won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.14 expected points added per play vs -0.26.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1NYGNYG 406132:10Punt
2CHICHI 8481:24Punt
3NYGNYG 297182:53Punt
4CHICHI 912676:50Interception
5NYGNYG 206162:00Punt
6CHICHI 57193:41Punt
7NYGCHI 427383:24Touchdown
8CHICHI 255-71:00Punt
9NYGCHI 29450:53Turnover on downs
10CHICHI 32431:27Punt
11NYGCHI 485232:23Turnover on downs
12CHICHI 339591:47Turnover on downs
13NYG100:08End of half
14CHICHI 407552:48Touchdown
15NYGNYG 25572:25Punt
16CHICHI 68882:38Turnover on downs
17NYGNYG 232-160:15Fumble
18CHINYG 3431:35Touchdown
19NYGNYG 18511:42Punt
20CHICHI 247153:52Interception
21NYG50471:47Turnover on downs
22CHICHI 437203:53Punt
23NYGNYG 3121024:55Touchdown
24CHICHI 25580:33Punt
25NYGNYG 68291:54Turnover on downs
26CHINYG 35301:43End of game

0 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 102 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
CHI -6
Closing total
41
NYG moneyline
+220
CHI moneyline
-252

Bears closed -6, won by 5 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 41; the game landed 33 — under by 8.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Soldier Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
48°F, wind 12 mph
Referee
Shawn Hochuli
Rest
NYG 14 days · CHI 7 days
Coaches
Pat Shurmur vs Matt Nagy