2019 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 24, 2019 · Paul Brown Stadium
Pittsburgh SteelersWinner
16
Cincinnati Bengals
10
Pittsburgh Steelers 16–10. Biggest swing: Q3 11:22, CIN +23% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(11:22) (Shotgun) 6-D.Hodges pass deep middle to 13-J.Washington for 79 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q3 · 11:22CIN +23% win prob(11:22) (Shotgun) 6-D.Hodges pass deep middle to 13-J.Washington for 79 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q4 · 8:59PIT +22% win prob(8:59) 5-R.Finley pass deep left to 83-T.Boyd to PIT 8 for 22 yards (55-D.Bush). FUMBLES (55-D.Bush), RECOVERED by PIT-39-M.Fitzpatrick at PIT 6. 39-M.Fitzpatrick to PIT 42 for 36 yards (66-T.Hopkins).
- Q2 · 2:00CIN +12% win prob(2:00) (Shotgun) 5-R.Finley pass short right to 83-T.Boyd for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN [97-C.Heyward].
- Q4 · 11:10CIN +12% win prob(11:10) (Shotgun) 5-R.Finley pass short left to 12-A.Erickson pushed ob at PIT 45 for 30 yards (22-S.Nelson).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Steelers | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 65 | 51 |
| Total yards | 343 (edge) | 244 |
| Yards per play | 5.3 (edge) | 4.8 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.07 (edge) | -0.38 |
| Success rate | 35% (edge) | 27% |
| Dropback rate | 51% | 61% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.24 (edge) | -0.49 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.10 (edge) | -0.21 |
| Third downs | 5/16 (edge) | 2/12 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 7 (edge) | 5 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 13 (edge) | 8 |
| Sacks taken | 3 (edge) | 4 |
| Turnovers | 1 (edge) | 2 |
Steelers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.07 expected points added per play vs -0.38.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CIN | CIN 23 | 8 | 33 | 3:24 | Punt | |
| 2 | PIT | PIT 2 | 4 | 8 | 2:20 | Punt | |
| 3 | CIN | CIN 30 | 4 | 1 | 2:19 | Punt | |
| 4 | PIT | PIT 25 | 12 | 71 | 6:09 | Interception | |
| 5 | CIN | CIN 15 | 6 | -6 | 2:32 | Punt | |
| 6 | PIT | PIT 40 | 4 | 9 | 2:25 | Punt | |
| 7 | CIN | CIN 10 | 4 | -1 | 2:18 | Punt | |
| 8 | PIT | CIN 48 | 9 | 50 | 5:12 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | CIN | CIN 31 | 5 | 69 | 1:26 | Touchdown | |
| 10 | PIT | PIT 7 | 10 | 23 | 1:14 | Punt | |
| 11 | CIN | CIN 30 | 4 | 8 | 0:27 | Punt | |
| 12 | PIT | PIT 11 | 1 | 0 | 0:14 | End of half | |
| 13 | PIT | PIT 25 | 5 | -3 | 1:31 | Punt | |
| 14 | CIN | CIN 39 | 4 | 1 | 0:53 | Punt | |
| 15 | PIT | PIT 17 | 4 | 93 | 1:26 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | CIN | CIN 23 | 10 | 59 | 6:03 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | PIT | PIT 25 | 5 | 1 | 1:45 | Punt | |
| 18 | CIN | CIN 40 | 4 | 1 | 0:58 | Punt | |
| 19 | PIT | PIT 16 | 5 | 22 | 2:19 | Punt | |
| 20 | CIN | CIN 15 | 4 | 7 | 0:45 | Punt | |
| 21 | PIT | PIT 29 | 6 | 3 | 2:21 | Turnover on downs | |
| 22 | CIN | CIN 25 | 7 | 72 | 3:14 | Fumble | |
| 23 | PIT | PIT 42 | 6 | 14 | 3:13 | Punt | |
| 24 | CIN | CIN 7 | 4 | 0 | 0:21 | Punt | |
| 25 | PIT | CIN 43 | 7 | 35 | 1:53 | Turnover on downs | |
| 26 | CIN | CIN 21 | 3 | 0 | 0:40 | Fumble | |
| 27 | PIT | CIN 21 | 4 | 17 | 2:38 | End of game |
0 of 27 drives ended in points. Longest march: Steelers gained 93 scrimmage yards over 4 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- PIT -5.5
- Closing total
- 37.5
- PIT moneyline
- -225
- CIN moneyline
- +199
Steelers closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 6.
Total closed 37.5; the game landed 26 — under by 11.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Paul Brown Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 46°F, wind 10 mph
- Referee
- Adrian Hill
- Rest
- PIT 10 days · CIN 7 days
- Coaches
- Mike Tomlin vs Zac Taylor
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.