2019 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 24, 2019 · Lincoln Financial Field

Seattle SeahawksWinner

Philadelphia Eagles

SEA -1 ✓U 45.5 ✓17 mph windSeahawks closed -1 and covered, winning by 8.

Seattle Seahawks 17–9. Biggest swing: Q3 6:10, SEA +14% win probability on one snap. Played in 17 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q3 · 6:10SEA — PHI PHI ball · 3rd & 3SEA 73%

(6:10) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz FUMBLES (Aborted) at SEA 45, RECOVERED by SEA-99-Q.Jefferson at SEA 48. 99-Q.Jefferson to PHI 32 for 20 yards (11-C.Wentz).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q3 · 6:10SEA +14% win prob(6:10) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz FUMBLES (Aborted) at SEA 45, RECOVERED by SEA-99-Q.Jefferson at SEA 48. 99-Q.Jefferson to PHI 32 for 20 yards (11-C.Wentz).
Q1 · 3:12SEA +9% win prob(3:12) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz sacked at PHI 44 for -5 yards (98-R.Green). FUMBLES (98-R.Green) [98-R.Green], RECOVERED by SEA-72-A.Woods at PHI 46. 72-A.Woods to PHI 46 for no gain (72-H.Vaitai).
Q4 · 12:06PHI +9% win prob(12:06) (Shotgun) 20-R.Penny up the middle for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 6:45PHI +7% win prob(6:45) 3-R.Wilson pass short middle to 14-DK.Metcalf to PHI 33 for 17 yards (21-R.Darby).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Seahawks	Eagles
Offensive plays	56	72
Total yards	349 (edge)	344
Yards per play	6.2 (edge)	4.8
Expected points added / play	-0.10 (edge)	-0.31
Success rate	30%	50% (edge)
Dropback rate	57%	71%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.07 (edge)	-0.27
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.13 (edge)	-0.41
Third downs	5/14 (edge)	4/12
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	8 (edge)	5
First downs gained on snaps	13	23 (edge)
Sacks taken	6	3 (edge)
Turnovers	2 (edge)	6

Seahawks won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.10 expected points added per play vs -0.31.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PHI	PHI 37	5	3	1:37	Punt
2	SEA	SEA 22	4	-6	1:31	Punt
3	PHI	SEA 43	9	28	4:23	Turnover on downs
4	SEA	SEA 25	6	75	1:35	Touchdown
5	PHI	PHI 25	6	21	2:51	Fumble
6	SEA	PHI 46	4	4	1:05	Punt
7	PHI	PHI 1	8	41	3:31	Interception
8	SEA	SEA 17	11	77	6:14	Turnover on downs
9	PHI	PHI 25	5	-2	2:16	Punt
10	SEA	SEA 42	4	-3	2:01	Punt
11	PHI	PHI 15	4	5	1:06	Punt
12	SEA	SEA 43	6	19	0:55	Punt
13	PHI	PHI 13	3	8	0:55	End of half
14	SEA	SEA 28	8	27	3:30	Punt
15	PHI	PHI 15	11	47	5:29	Fumble
16	SEA	PHI 32	3	5	1:24	Interception
17	PHI	PHI 33	6	21	3:31	Punt
18	SEA	SEA 12	8	93	4:10	Touchdown
19	PHI	PHI 26	5	42	1:28	Fumble
20	SEA	SEA 32	2	3	0:50	Fumble
21	PHI	SEA 31	4	8	1:48	Turnover on downs
22	SEA	SEA 24	7	37	2:43	Punt
23	PHI	PHI 2	6	42	0:57	Interception
24	SEA	SEA 32	5	18	1:47	Punt
25	PHI	PHI 20	9	80	2:03	Touchdown
26	SEA	PHI 48	2	0	0:20	End of game

0 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Seahawks gained 93 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: SEA -1
Closing total: 45.5
SEA moneyline: -105
PHI moneyline: -105

Seahawks closed -1 and covered, winning by 8.

Total closed 45.5; the game landed 26 — under by 19.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 40°F, wind 17 mph
Referee: Walt Anderson
Rest: SEA 13 days · PHI 7 days
Coaches: Pete Carroll vs Doug Pederson

Wind at 17 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.