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2019 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 24, 2019 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
35
22
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 35–22. Biggest swing: Q1 3:24, TB +15% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(3:24) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle intended for 44-D.Ogunbowale INTERCEPTED by 59-D.Campbell at TB 19. 59-D.Campbell to TB 19 for no gain (44-D.Ogunbowale).
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Buccaneers | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 58 | 81 |
| Total yards | 450 (edge) | 337 |
| Yards per play | 7.8 (edge) | 4.2 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.20 (edge) | -0.15 |
| Success rate | 45% (edge) | 37% |
| Dropback rate | 55% | 78% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.48 (edge) | -0.15 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.15 (edge) | -0.17 |
| Third downs | 6/12 (edge) | 4/16 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 11 (edge) | 4 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 20 | 20 |
| Sacks taken | 0 (edge) | 6 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 2 |
Buccaneers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.20 expected points added per play vs -0.15.
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ATL | ATL 25 | 8 | 68 | 2:13 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | TB | TB 25 | 3 | 11 | 0:40 | Interception | |
| 3 | ATL | ATL 47 | 6 | 18 | 2:45 | Punt | |
| 4 | TB | TB 3 | 6 | 98 | 2:37 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | ATL | ATL 25 | 8 | 41 | 2:45 | Punt | |
| 6 | TB | TB 10 | 3 | 3 | 0:43 | Interception | |
| 7 | ATL | TB 19 | 7 | 19 | 2:31 | Touchdown | |
| 8 | TB | TB 25 | 5 | 8 | 1:40 | Punt | |
| 9 | ATL | ATL 13 | 5 | -5 | 2:40 | Punt | |
| 10 | TB | TB 49 | 7 | 61 | 3:31 | Touchdown | |
| 11 | ATL | ATL 25 | 8 | 13 | 3:11 | Punt | |
| 12 | TB | TB 5 | 12 | 95 | 4:04 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | ATL | ATL 25 | 5 | 7 | 0:35 | Punt | |
| 14 | TB | TB 26 | 1 | 0 | 0:05 | End of half | |
| 15 | TB | TB 25 | 11 | 75 | 4:02 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | ATL | ATL 25 | 5 | 20 | 1:46 | Interception | |
| 17 | TB | TB 11 | 4 | 8 | 1:36 | Punt | |
| 18 | ATL | ATL 44 | 13 | 54 | 5:56 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | TB | TB 25 | 9 | 61 | 3:52 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | ATL | ATL 25 | 14 | 55 | 4:36 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | TB | TB 25 | 6 | 13 | 1:38 | Punt | |
| 22 | ATL | ATL 19 | 4 | -4 | 0:46 | Punt | |
| 23 | TB | TB 45 | 6 | 17 | 2:04 | Punt | |
| 24 | ATL | ATL 10 | 4 | -4 | 0:38 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 25 | ATL | ATL 25 | 11 | 55 | 1:16 | Touchdown | |
| 26 | TB | 50 | 4 | 0 | 1:50 | End of game |
0 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Buccaneers gained 98 scrimmage yards over 6 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Falcons closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 51.5; the game landed 57 — over by 5.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
