2019 Week 13 · Thu, Nov 28, 2019 · Ford Field
Chicago BearsWinner
24
Detroit Lions
20
Chicago Bears 24–20. Biggest swing: Q4 2:52, DET +24% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(2:52) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right to 17-A.Miller to DET 2 for 32 yards (27-J.Coleman).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 2:52DET +24% win prob(2:52) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right to 17-A.Miller to DET 2 for 32 yards (27-J.Coleman).
- Q4 · 0:41CHI +19% win prob(:41) (Shotgun) 10-D.Blough sacked at CHI 39 for -13 yards (58-R.Smith).
- Q1 · 11:12DET +16% win prob(11:12) (Shotgun) 10-D.Blough pass deep left to 19-K.Golladay for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q3 · 11:04CHI +15% win prob(11:04) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short right intended for 12-A.Robinson INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Slay at DET 22. 23-D.Slay to DET 41 for 19 yards (17-A.Miller).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Bears | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 61 | 67 |
| Total yards | 420 (edge) | 364 |
| Yards per play | 6.9 (edge) | 5.4 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.11 (edge) | -0.02 |
| Success rate | 57% (edge) | 37% |
| Dropback rate | 69% | 61% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.21 (edge) | 0.09 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.10 (edge) | -0.19 |
| Third downs | 5/10 | 8/16 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 5 | 5 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 22 (edge) | 17 |
| Sacks taken | 1 (edge) | 2 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 (edge) |
Bears won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.11 expected points added per play vs -0.02.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 50 | 8 | 50 | 3:23 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | DET | DET 25 | 5 | 75 | 0:36 | Touchdown | |
| 3 | CHI | CHI 25 | 5 | 6 | 1:35 | Punt | |
| 4 | DET | DET 22 | 11 | 78 | 5:14 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | DET | CHI 49 | 5 | 5 | 1:35 | Punt | |
| 6 | CHI | CHI 15 | 4 | 2 | 0:58 | Punt | |
| 7 | DET | DET 45 | 4 | 5 | 0:53 | Punt | |
| 8 | CHI | CHI 9 | 15 | 84 | 7:37 | Fumble | |
| 9 | DET | DET 32 | 11 | 66 | 4:59 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | CHI | CHI 36 | 10 | 52 | 2:48 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | DET | DET 25 | 3 | 7 | 0:22 | End of half | |
| 12 | DET | DET 25 | 5 | 4 | 1:14 | Punt | |
| 13 | CHI | CHI 37 | 5 | 40 | 2:53 | Interception | |
| 14 | DET | DET 41 | 4 | -1 | 1:35 | Punt | |
| 15 | CHI | CHI 20 | 10 | 90 | 4:34 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | DET | DET 25 | 16 | 76 | 8:57 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | CHI | CHI 25 | 5 | -4 | 2:10 | Punt | |
| 18 | DET | DET 34 | 5 | 15 | 1:57 | Punt | |
| 19 | CHI | CHI 10 | 10 | 100 | 4:23 | Touchdown | |
| 20 | DET | DET 17 | 13 | 34 | 1:48 | Interception | |
| 21 | CHI | CHI 14 | 1 | 0 | 0:29 | End of game |
0 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bears gained 100 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- CHI -5.5
- Closing total
- 37.5
- CHI moneyline
- -230
- DET moneyline
- +203
Bears closed -5.5, won by 4 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 37.5; the game landed 44 — over by 6.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Ford Field
- Roof / surface
- dome · fieldturf
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Jerome Boger
- Rest
- CHI 4 days · DET 4 days
- Coaches
- Matt Nagy vs Matt Patricia
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.