2019 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 1, 2019 · Empower Field at Mile High
Los Angeles Chargers
20
Denver BroncosWinner
23
Denver Broncos 23–20 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 2:22, DEN +36% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(2:22) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass deep left to 81-M.Williams to DEN 38 for 38 yards (26-I.Yiadom).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 2:22DEN +36% win prob(2:22) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass deep left to 81-M.Williams to DEN 38 for 38 yards (26-I.Yiadom).
- Q4 · 0:09DEN +32% win prob(:09) (Shotgun) 3-D.Lock pass incomplete deep right to 14-C.Sutton. PENALTY on LAC-26-C.Hayward, Defensive Pass Interference, 37 yards, enforced at DEN 28 - No Play.
- Q4 · 1:04LAC +22% win prob(1:04) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short right to 13-K.Allen to DEN 29 for no gain (31-J.Simmons).
- Q4 · 12:28DEN +21% win prob(12:28) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass deep left to 13-K.Allen for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Chargers | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 61 | 53 |
| Total yards | 359 (edge) | 218 |
| Yards per play | 5.9 (edge) | 4.1 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.01 (edge) | -0.20 |
| Success rate | 41% (edge) | 34% |
| Dropback rate | 52% | 58% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.12 (edge) | -0.10 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.12 (edge) | -0.34 |
| Third downs | 5/15 | 7/15 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 7 (edge) | 4 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 16 (edge) | 11 |
| Sacks taken | 3 | 0 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEN | DEN 25 | 5 | 9 | 1:29 | Punt | |
| 2 | LAC | LAC 28 | 7 | 15 | 3:03 | Punt | |
| 3 | DEN | DEN 20 | 13 | 80 | 5:55 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | LAC | LAC 25 | 4 | 5 | 1:21 | Interception | |
| 5 | DEN | LAC 18 | 7 | 18 | 2:56 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | LAC | LAC 25 | 15 | 48 | 5:49 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | DEN | DEN 25 | 5 | 10 | 1:48 | Punt | |
| 8 | DEN | LAC 21 | 4 | 8 | 2:07 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | LAC | LAC 25 | 7 | 21 | 3:08 | Punt | |
| 10 | DEN | DEN 22 | 4 | 4 | 1:32 | Punt | |
| 11 | LAC | LAC 23 | 4 | 82 | 0:22 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | DEN | DEN 33 | 6 | 53 | 0:30 | End of half | |
| 13 | LAC | LAC 25 | 11 | 41 | 4:40 | Punt | |
| 14 | DEN | DEN 20 | 7 | 11 | 3:38 | Punt | |
| 15 | LAC | LAC 15 | 8 | 28 | 4:44 | Punt | |
| 16 | DEN | DEN 14 | 4 | 3 | 2:06 | Punt | |
| 17 | LAC | LAC 38 | 6 | 62 | 2:34 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | DEN | DEN 25 | 3 | 1 | 0:48 | Interception | |
| 19 | LAC | DEN 38 | 4 | 1 | 2:16 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | DEN | DEN 45 | 8 | 21 | 4:48 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | LAC | LAC 25 | 9 | 56 | 4:12 | Turnover on downs | |
| 22 | DEN | DEN 28 | 2 | 0 | 0:14 | Turnover on downs |
0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 82 scrimmage yards over 4 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- LAC -4.5
- Closing total
- 39
- LAC moneyline
- -207
- DEN moneyline
- +183
Chargers closed -4.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 39; the game landed 43 — over by 4.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Empower Field at Mile High
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 33°F, wind 7 mph
- Referee
- Bradley Rogers
- Rest
- LAC 13 days · DEN 7 days
- Coaches
- Anthony Lynn vs Vic Fangio
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.