2019 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 1, 2019 · Paul Brown Stadium
New York Jets
6
Cincinnati BengalsWinner
22
Cincinnati Bengals 22–6. Biggest swing: Q2 15:00, NYJ +10% win probability on one snap. Played in 15 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(15:00) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold sacked at NYJ 5 for -10 yards (94-S.Hubbard).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q2 · 15:00NYJ +10% win prob(15:00) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold sacked at NYJ 5 for -10 yards (94-S.Hubbard).
- Q1 · 1:17CIN +8% win prob(1:17) (No Huddle) 14-A.Dalton pass deep middle to 83-T.Boyd for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q3 · 11:11NYJ +7% win prob(11:11) 4-R.Bullock 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.
- Q2 · 11:28CIN +7% win prob(11:28) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short right to 83-T.Boyd to NYJ 14 for 17 yards (37-M.Canady).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Jets | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 69 | 59 |
| Total yards | 271 | 283 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 3.9 | 4.8 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.16 | -0.03 (edge) |
| Success rate | 36% | 41% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 78% | 66% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.19 | 0.06 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.03 (edge) | -0.20 |
| Third downs | 7/18 (edge) | 5/13 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 2 (edge) | 0 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 15 | 17 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 4 | 1 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
Bengals won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.03 expected points added per play vs -0.16.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYJ | NYJ 25 | 14 | 51 | 5:52 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | CIN | CIN 29 | 6 | 20 | 2:25 | Turnover on downs | |
| 3 | NYJ | NYJ 20 | 5 | 0 | 2:00 | Punt | |
| 4 | CIN | CIN 38 | 8 | 62 | 3:31 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | NYJ | NYJ 8 | 5 | -3 | 2:02 | Punt | |
| 6 | CIN | NYJ 45 | 9 | 39 | 4:57 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | NYJ | NYJ 25 | 11 | 44 | 4:41 | Punt | |
| 8 | CIN | CIN 9 | 8 | 52 | 2:46 | Touchdown | |
| 9 | NYJ | NYJ 10 | 12 | 69 | 1:42 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | CIN | CIN 25 | 2 | 0 | 0:04 | End of half | |
| 11 | CIN | CIN 38 | 10 | 42 | 3:53 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | NYJ | NYJ 38 | 5 | 5 | 2:10 | Punt | |
| 13 | CIN | CIN 35 | 7 | 20 | 2:39 | Punt | |
| 14 | NYJ | NYJ 2 | 1 | 2 | 0:32 | Turnover on downs | |
| 15 | CIN | CIN 42 | 9 | 29 | 4:31 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | NYJ | NYJ 25 | 5 | 0 | 0:25 | Punt | |
| 17 | CIN | CIN 43 | 4 | 2 | 0:56 | Punt | |
| 18 | NYJ | NYJ 9 | 4 | -4 | 2:05 | Punt | |
| 19 | CIN | CIN 40 | 4 | 6 | 1:37 | Punt | |
| 20 | NYJ | NYJ 20 | 10 | 64 | 4:50 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | CIN | CIN 36 | 6 | 11 | 2:42 | Punt | |
| 22 | NYJ | NYJ 14 | 11 | 43 | 2:00 | Turnover on downs | |
| 23 | CIN | CIN 43 | 3 | 0 | 1:40 | End of game |
0 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Jets gained 69 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a turnover on downs.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- NYJ -2.5
- Closing total
- 43
- NYJ moneyline
- -123
- CIN moneyline
- +111
Jets closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 43; the game landed 28 — under by 15.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Paul Brown Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 46°F, wind 15 mph
- Referee
- Ronald Torbert
- Rest
- NYJ 7 days · CIN 7 days
- Coaches
- Adam Gase vs Zac Taylor
Wind at 15 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.