2019 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 1, 2019 · M&T Bank Stadium

San Francisco 49ers

Baltimore RavensWinner

BAL -5.5 no coverU 45 ✓Ravens closed -5.5, won by 3 — but didn't cover.

Baltimore Ravens 20–17 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 6:33, SF +19% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 6:33SF — BAL SF ball · 4th & 1SF 53%

(6:33) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete short middle to 85-G.Kittle (93-C.Wormley).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 6:33SF +19% win prob(6:33) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass incomplete short middle to 85-G.Kittle (93-C.Wormley).
Q1 · 12:00BAL +17% win prob(12:00) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass deep right to 19-D.Samuel for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 6:37SF +14% win prob(6:37) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo sacked at SF 25 for -6 yards (36-C.Clark). FUMBLES (36-C.Clark) [36-C.Clark], RECOVERED by BAL-98-B.Williams at SF 23. 98-B.Williams to SF 23 for no gain (30-J.Wilson).
Q4 · 0:03BAL +14% win prob(:03) (Field Goal formation) 9-J.Tucker 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	49ers	Ravens
Offensive plays	52	62
Total yards	331 (edge)	283
Yards per play	6.4 (edge)	4.6
Expected points added / play	0.10 (edge)	-0.01
Success rate	42%	48% (edge)
Dropback rate	48%	39%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.06 (edge)	-0.07
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.13 (edge)	0.04
Third downs	4/12	4/10 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	7	8 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	14	20 (edge)
Sacks taken	2	1 (edge)
Turnovers	1	1

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	SF	SF 26	9	74	3:07	Touchdown
2	BAL	BAL 21	9	22	2:56	Punt
3	SF	SF 16	5	7	2:29	Fumble
4	BAL	SF 23	3	23	0:47	Touchdown
5	SF	SF 30	5	9	1:28	Punt
6	BAL	BAL 16	14	65	7:15	Touchdown
7	SF	SF 25	7	75	2:46	Touchdown
8	BAL	BAL 25	14	48	7:14	Turnover on downs
9	SF	SF 25	8	47	1:58	Turnover on downs
10	BAL	BAL 25	7	55	2:57	Fumble
11	SF	SF 20	14	53	8:26	Turnover on downs
12	BAL	BAL 25	7	12	2:06	Punt
13	SF	SF 1	8	41	4:10	Punt
14	BAL	BAL 41	6	19	2:43	Turnover on downs
15	SF	SF 40	6	25	3:10	Turnover on downs
16	BAL	BAL 35	12	39	6:28	Turnover on downs

0 of 16 drives ended in points. Longest march: 49ers gained 75 scrimmage yards over 7 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: BAL -5.5
Closing total: 45
SF moneyline: +212
BAL moneyline: -242

Ravens closed -5.5, won by 3 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 45; the game landed 37 — under by 8.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 40°F, wind 13 mph
Referee: Brad Allen
Rest: SF 7 days · BAL 6 days
Coaches: Kyle Shanahan vs John Harbaugh