2019 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 8, 2019 · FirstEnergy Stadium

Cincinnati Bengals

Cleveland BrownsWinner

CLE -6.5 ✓O 43 ✓16 mph windBrowns closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 8.

Cleveland Browns 27–19. Biggest swing: Q1 7:31, CIN +17% win probability on one snap. Played in 16 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 7:31CIN — CLE CLE ball · 1st & 10CLE 77%

(7:31) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle intended for 85-D.Njoku INTERCEPTED by 59-N.Vigil at CIN 15. 59-N.Vigil to CIN 49 for 34 yards (70-K.Lamm). The Replay Official reviewed the interception ruling, and the play was Uph

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 7:31CIN +17% win prob(7:31) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle intended for 85-D.Njoku INTERCEPTED by 59-N.Vigil at CIN 15. 59-N.Vigil to CIN 49 for 34 yards (70-K.Lamm). The Replay Official reviewed the interception ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
Q1 · 5:46CIN +15% win prob(5:46) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short right intended for 19-A.Tate INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Ward at CLE 39. 21-D.Ward for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 10:38CLE +9% win prob(10:38) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep middle to 80-J.Landry to CLE 36 for 20 yards (42-C.Fejedelem).
Q3 · 12:55CLE +8% win prob(12:55) 24-N.Chubb right guard to CIN 3 for 57 yards (22-W.Jackson III). Penalty on CIN-93-A.Brown, Defensive Offside, declined.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Bengals	Browns
Offensive plays	70	51
Total yards	451 (edge)	334
Yards per play	6.4	6.5 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.01	0.05 (edge)
Success rate	50% (edge)	39%
Dropback rate	57%	53%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.10	0.07 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.11 (edge)	0.03
Third downs	3/12	7/12 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	10 (edge)	8
First downs gained on snaps	26 (edge)	16
Sacks taken	2	1 (edge)
Turnovers	1 (edge)	2

Browns won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.05 expected points added per play vs -0.01.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	CIN	CIN 25	9	69	4:04	Turnover on downs
2	CLE	CLE 23	7	49	3:37	Interception
3	CIN	CIN 49	4	14	1:43	Defensive touchdown
4	CIN	CIN 24	8	45	3:59	Turnover on downs
5	CLE	CLE 19	4	0	1:09	Interception
6	CIN	CIN 43	7	52	3:21	Touchdown
7	CLE	CLE 25	12	85	5:30	Touchdown
8	CIN	CIN 18	5	2	1:39	Punt
9	CLE	CIN 46	4	-5	1:02	Punt
10	CIN	CIN 22	6	29	2:17	Punt
11	CLE	CLE 8	4	10	0:38	Punt
12	CIN	CIN 18	5	31	1:01	End of half
13	CLE	CLE 25	8	75	2:50	Touchdown
14	CIN	CIN 14	17	76	7:31	Turnover on downs
15	CLE	CLE 25	9	40	4:23	Turnover on downs
16	CIN	CIN 24	17	84	8:02	Turnover on downs
17	CLE	CLE 2	14	80	6:08	Turnover on downs
18	CIN	CIN 23	7	49	0:54	Turnover on downs
19	CLE	CIN 45	2	0	0:12	End of game

0 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 85 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CLE -6.5
Closing total: 43
CIN moneyline: +234
CLE moneyline: -269

Browns closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 8.

Total closed 43; the game landed 46 — over by 3.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: FirstEnergy Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 48°F, wind 16 mph
Referee: Carl Cheffers
Rest: CIN 7 days · CLE 7 days
Coaches: Zac Taylor vs Freddie Kitchens

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.

Wind at 16 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.