2019 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 8, 2019 · U.S. Bank Stadium
Detroit Lions
7
Minnesota VikingsWinner
20
Minnesota Vikings 20–7. Biggest swing: Q2 12:02, DET +4% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(12:02) 2-B.Colquitt punts 26 yards to DET 13, Center-58-A.Cutting, fair catch by 80-D.Amendola.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q2 · 12:02DET +4% win prob(12:02) 2-B.Colquitt punts 26 yards to DET 13, Center-58-A.Cutting, fair catch by 80-D.Amendola.
- Q1 · 12:01DET +4% win prob(12:01) 2-B.Colquitt punts 30 yards to DET 15, Center-58-A.Cutting, fair catch by 80-D.Amendola. PENALTY on MIN-91-S.Weatherly, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DET 15.
- Q1 · 10:02MIN +3% win prob(10:02) (No Huddle) 33-D.Cook left tackle to MIN 38 for 9 yards (21-T.Walker).
- Q1 · 5:52MIN +3% win prob(5:52) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 81-O.Johnson for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Lions | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 67 | 69 |
| Total yards | 231 | 355 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 3.4 | 5.1 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.23 | -0.05 (edge) |
| Success rate | 36% | 42% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 67% | 45% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.21 | 0.18 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.26 | -0.24 (edge) |
| Third downs | 7/16 (edge) | 5/14 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 1 | 3 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 14 | 19 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 5 | 1 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 (edge) |
Vikings won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.05 expected points added per play vs -0.23.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DET | DET 25 | 5 | -6 | 0:53 | Punt | |
| 2 | MIN | MIN 42 | 6 | 13 | 2:13 | Punt | |
| 3 | DET | DET 25 | 4 | 8 | 1:27 | Punt | |
| 4 | MIN | MIN 18 | 11 | 69 | 4:40 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | DET | DET 25 | 9 | 11 | 4:02 | Punt | |
| 6 | MIN | MIN 12 | 11 | 44 | 4:50 | Punt | |
| 7 | DET | DET 13 | 4 | 8 | 2:01 | Punt | |
| 8 | MIN | MIN 35 | 9 | 61 | 5:12 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | DET | DET 25 | 15 | 38 | 3:36 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | MIN | MIN 35 | 7 | 65 | 0:46 | Touchdown | |
| 11 | DET | DET 32 | 4 | 11 | 0:20 | End of half | |
| 12 | MIN | MIN 30 | 5 | 5 | 1:25 | Punt | |
| 13 | DET | DET 18 | 4 | 8 | 1:22 | Punt | |
| 14 | MIN | MIN 32 | 4 | 3 | 1:43 | Punt | |
| 15 | DET | DET 19 | 4 | 15 | 2:23 | Punt | |
| 16 | MIN | MIN 32 | 7 | 13 | 3:08 | Punt | |
| 17 | DET | DET 23 | 2 | 5 | 0:35 | Interception | |
| 18 | MIN | MIN 36 | 9 | 32 | 4:29 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | DET | DET 25 | 11 | 23 | 4:53 | Punt | |
| 20 | MIN | MIN 8 | 7 | 42 | 4:23 | Punt | |
| 21 | DET | DET 25 | 13 | 75 | 3:30 | Touchdown | |
| 22 | MIN | MIN 48 | 5 | 8 | 0:24 | Turnover on downs | |
| 23 | DET | DET 44 | 6 | 35 | 1:15 | Interception | |
| 24 | MIN | MIN 20 | 1 | 0 | 0:30 | End of game |
0 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Lions gained 75 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- MIN -12
- Closing total
- 43.5
- DET moneyline
- +463
- MIN moneyline
- -587
Vikings closed -12 and covered, winning by 13.
Total closed 43.5; the game landed 27 — under by 16.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- U.S. Bank Stadium
- Roof / surface
- dome · sportturf
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Walt Anderson
- Rest
- DET 10 days · MIN 6 days
- Coaches
- Matt Patricia vs Mike Zimmer
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.