2019 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 8, 2019 · Gillette Stadium
Kansas City ChiefsWinner
23
New England Patriots
16
Kansas City Chiefs 23–16. Biggest swing: Q2 13:14, NE +20% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(13:14) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 17-M.Hardman for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q2 · 13:14NE +20% win prob(13:14) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 17-M.Hardman for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q4 · 3:26NE +18% win prob(3:26) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady scrambles left tackle to KC 12 for 17 yards (32-T.Mathieu).
- Q4 · 1:11KC +17% win prob(1:11) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short left to 11-J.Edelman (21-B.Breeland).
- Q3 · 0:15KC +12% win prob(:15) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to NE 36 for 1 yard (32-D.McCourty, 24-S.Gilmore). New England challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to NE 36 for 1 yard (32-D.McCourty). FUMBLES (32-D.McCourty), RECOVERED by NE-24-S.Gilmore at NE 43.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Chiefs | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 67 | 63 |
| Total yards | 349 (edge) | 278 |
| Yards per play | 5.2 (edge) | 4.4 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.01 (edge) | -0.27 |
| Success rate | 37% (edge) | 35% |
| Dropback rate | 66% | 65% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.02 (edge) | -0.36 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.02 (edge) | -0.12 |
| Third downs | 5/15 (edge) | 2/12 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 5 | 5 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 16 (edge) | 15 |
| Sacks taken | 1 (edge) | 3 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 (edge) |
Chiefs won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.01 expected points added per play vs -0.27.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | NE 17 | 7 | 44 | 2:26 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | KC | KC 30 | 4 | 1 | 0:53 | Interception | |
| 3 | NE | KC 40 | 4 | -1 | 0:43 | Punt | |
| 4 | KC | KC 17 | 9 | 63 | 3:46 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | NE | NE 22 | 14 | 55 | 5:12 | Turnover on downs | |
| 6 | KC | KC 42 | 8 | 68 | 3:56 | Touchdown | |
| 7 | NE | NE 25 | 2 | 0 | 0:11 | Interception | |
| 8 | KC | NE 35 | 8 | 30 | 3:20 | Touchdown | |
| 9 | NE | NE 31 | 8 | 42 | 2:31 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | KC | KC 27 | 7 | 18 | 3:13 | Punt | |
| 11 | NE | NE 22 | 4 | 0 | 1:01 | Punt | |
| 12 | KC | KC 13 | 10 | 69 | 1:49 | Turnover on downs | |
| 13 | NE | NE 41 | 4 | 4 | 0:59 | End of half | |
| 14 | KC | KC 25 | 12 | 52 | 6:14 | Turnover on downs | |
| 15 | NE | NE 24 | 5 | -5 | 1:27 | Punt | |
| 16 | KC | KC 44 | 4 | -4 | 2:05 | Punt | |
| 17 | NE | KC 19 | 3 | 19 | 0:51 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | KC | KC 29 | 9 | 28 | 4:16 | Fumble | |
| 19 | NE | NE 43 | 9 | 22 | 3:25 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | KC | KC 18 | 5 | 15 | 1:25 | Punt | |
| 21 | NE | NE 20 | 7 | 30 | 2:55 | Punt | |
| 22 | KC | KC 18 | 4 | 9 | 2:18 | Punt | |
| 23 | NE | NE 32 | 9 | 68 | 3:58 | Turnover on downs | |
| 24 | KC | KC 5 | 3 | 0 | 1:06 | End of game |
0 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chiefs gained 69 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a turnover on downs.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- NE -3
- Closing total
- 49.5
- KC moneyline
- +135
- NE moneyline
- -150
Patriots closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 49.5; the game landed 39 — under by 10.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Gillette Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 32°F, wind 8 mph
- Referee
- Jerome Boger
- Rest
- KC 7 days · NE 7 days
- Coaches
- Andy Reid vs Bill Belichick