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2019 Week 14 · Mon, Dec 9, 2019 · Lincoln Financial Field

New York Giants

17

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

23

PHI -9.5 no coverU 45.5 ✓

Philadelphia Eagles 23–17. Biggest swing: OT 9:28, PHI +18% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3End Q4PHINYG
OT · 9:28NYG PHI PHI ball · 1st & 10PHI 58%

(9:28) (Shotgun) 35-B.Scott right end ran ob at NYG 39 for 25 yards (41-A.Bethea).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. OT · 9:28PHI +18% win prob(9:28) (Shotgun) 35-B.Scott right end ran ob at NYG 39 for 25 yards (41-A.Bethea).
  2. Q2 · 0:35PHI +16% win prob(:35) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass deep left to 86-D.Slayton for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q4 · 1:32NYG +14% win prob(1:32) 9-R.Dixon punts 44 yards to PHI 24, Center-69-C.Holba, fair catch by 84-G.Ward.
  4. Q4 · 10:00NYG +13% win prob(10:00) 4-J.Elliott 47 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-1-C.Johnston.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricGiantsEagles
Offensive plays5185
Total yards256418 (edge)
Yards per play5.0 (edge)4.9
Expected points added / play-0.10-0.01 (edge)
Success rate35%46% (edge)
Dropback rate63%64%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.060.07 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.18-0.14 (edge)
Third downs2/129/21 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)57 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1125 (edge)
Sacks taken2 (edge)3
Turnovers0 (edge)1

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.01 expected points added per play vs -0.10.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1PHIPHI 25824:09Punt
2NYGNYG 18431:40Punt
3PHIPHI 34491:28Fumble
4NYGPHI 435101:46Punt
5PHIPHI 37183:00Punt
6NYGNYG 438623:05Touchdown
7PHIPHI 2510695:19Turnover on downs
8NYGNYG 2510664:03Turnover on downs
9PHIPHI 28551:42Punt
10NYGNYG 5411:11Punt
11PHIPHI 41470:51Punt
12NYGNYG 167841:19Touchdown
13PHIPHI 25560:27Punt
14NYGNYG 255-101:30Punt
15PHIPHI 47411:29Punt
16NYGNYG 135172:23Punt
17PHIPHI 29491:32Punt
18NYGNYG 11450:59Punt
19PHIPHI 4211585:39Touchdown
20NYGNYG 256161:40Punt
21PHIPHI 1311584:53Turnover on downs
22NYGNYG 374-51:45Punt
23PHIPHI 1515806:17Touchdown
24NYGNYG 25570:28Punt
25PHIPHI 245211:15Punt
26NYGNYG 20100:10Turnover on downs
27PHIPHI 259754:50Touchdown

0 of 27 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 84 scrimmage yards over 7 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
PHI -9.5
Closing total
45.5
NYG moneyline
+341
PHI moneyline
-411

Eagles closed -9.5, won by 6 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 45.5; the game landed 40 — under by 5.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
53°F, wind 11 mph
Referee
Scott Novak
Rest
NYG 8 days · PHI 8 days
Coaches
Pat Shurmur vs Doug Pederson

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.