2019 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 8, 2019 · Lambeau Field
Washington Commanders
15
Green Bay PackersWinner
20
Green Bay Packers 20–15. Biggest swing: Q2 0:58, WAS +3% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(:58) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at WAS 38 for -11 yards (52-R.Anderson). FUMBLES (52-R.Anderson), RECOVERED by WAS-52-R.Anderson at WAS 40. 52-R.Anderson to WAS 40 for no gain (75-B.Bulaga).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q2 · 0:58WAS +3% win prob(:58) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at WAS 38 for -11 yards (52-R.Anderson). FUMBLES (52-R.Anderson), RECOVERED by WAS-52-R.Anderson at WAS 40. 52-R.Anderson to WAS 40 for no gain (75-B.Bulaga).
- Q1 · 12:50GB +3% win prob(12:50) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 80-J.Graham to WAS 30 for 20 yards (35-M.Nicholson).
- Q1 · 6:13WAS +3% win prob(6:13) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at WAS 49 for -7 yards (91-R.Kerrigan).
- Q4 · 8:28GB +3% win prob(8:28) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 33-A.Jones to GB 32 for 25 yards (35-M.Nicholson).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Commanders | Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 59 | 57 |
| Total yards | 262 | 344 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 4.4 | 6.0 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.06 | 0.07 (edge) |
| Success rate | 39% | 40% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 51% | 60% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.04 (edge) | -0.08 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.07 | 0.28 (edge) |
| Third downs | 4/11 | 5/13 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 5 | 9 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 17 | 18 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 4 | 4 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 2 |
Packers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.07 expected points added per play vs -0.06.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WAS | WAS 25 | 5 | -10 | 2:10 | Punt | |
| 2 | GB | 50 | 8 | 55 | 3:44 | Touchdown | |
| 3 | WAS | WAS 8 | 5 | 5 | 1:38 | Punt | |
| 4 | GB | WAS 48 | 4 | -1 | 2:10 | Punt | |
| 5 | WAS | WAS 12 | 4 | 9 | 1:38 | Punt | |
| 6 | GB | GB 43 | 6 | 57 | 3:06 | Touchdown | |
| 7 | WAS | WAS 25 | 9 | 23 | 4:12 | Punt | |
| 8 | GB | GB 12 | 5 | 43 | 1:52 | Punt | |
| 9 | WAS | WAS 5 | 12 | 95 | 5:46 | Touchdown | |
| 10 | GB | GB 25 | 10 | 40 | 2:53 | Fumble | |
| 11 | WAS | WAS 40 | 4 | 14 | 0:50 | Interception | |
| 12 | GB | GB 27 | 1 | 0 | 0:01 | End of half | |
| 13 | GB | GB 25 | 11 | 60 | 4:52 | Turnover on downs | |
| 14 | WAS | WAS 25 | 5 | -6 | 2:10 | Punt | |
| 15 | GB | WAS 49 | 4 | 5 | 1:13 | Punt | |
| 16 | WAS | WAS 20 | 12 | 37 | 6:34 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | GB | GB 25 | 6 | 11 | 1:52 | Punt | |
| 18 | WAS | WAS 30 | 7 | 20 | 3:21 | Punt | |
| 19 | GB | GB 11 | 14 | 74 | 7:24 | Fumble | |
| 20 | WAS | WAS 25 | 10 | 75 | 1:17 | Touchdown | |
| 21 | GB | WAS 47 | 3 | 0 | 1:17 | End of game |
0 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Commanders gained 95 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- GB -13
- Closing total
- 42.5
- WAS moneyline
- +568
- GB moneyline
- -752
Packers closed -13, won by 5 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 42.5; the game landed 35 — under by 7.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Lambeau Field
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 37°F, wind 10 mph
- Referee
- Clay Martin
- Rest
- WAS 7 days · GB 7 days
- Coaches
- Bill Callahan vs Matt LaFleur