2019 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 15, 2019 · State Farm Stadium
Cleveland Browns
24
Arizona CardinalsWinner
38
Arizona Cardinals 38–24. Biggest swing: Q1 4:18, CLE +19% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(4:18) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep left intended for 13-O.Beckham INTERCEPTED by 21-P.Peterson at ARI -3. Touchback.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 4:18CLE +19% win prob(4:18) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep left intended for 13-O.Beckham INTERCEPTED by 21-P.Peterson at ARI -3. Touchback.
- Q2 · 6:54CLE +16% win prob(6:54) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left intended for 85-C.Clay INTERCEPTED by 51-M.Wilson at ARI 49. 51-M.Wilson pushed ob at ARI 28 for 21 yards (1-K.Murray).
- Q2 · 3:59ARI +13% win prob(3:59) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 14-D.Byrd pushed ob at CLE 35 for 51 yards (26-G.Williams).
- Q1 · 4:59ARI +10% win prob(4:59) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 18-D.Ratley to ARI 20 for 21 yards (25-C.Jones) [54-C.Marsh Sr.].
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Browns | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 66 | 59 |
| Total yards | 393 | 447 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 6.0 | 7.6 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.10 | 0.29 (edge) |
| Success rate | 52% | 58% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 68% | 46% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.02 | 0.25 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.28 | 0.31 (edge) |
| Third downs | 9/14 (edge) | 4/8 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 | 9 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 24 | 25 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 1 | 0 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 (edge) |
Cardinals won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.29 expected points added per play vs 0.10.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARI | ARI 10 | 12 | 90 | 4:51 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | CLE | CLE 22 | 11 | 58 | 5:58 | Interception | |
| 3 | ARI | ARI 20 | 5 | 34 | 2:06 | Punt | |
| 4 | CLE | CLE 15 | 4 | 2 | 1:45 | Punt | |
| 5 | ARI | ARI 33 | 7 | 72 | 3:18 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | CLE | CLE 17 | 9 | 88 | 4:12 | Touchdown | |
| 7 | ARI | ARI 24 | 4 | 16 | 1:05 | Interception | |
| 8 | CLE | ARI 28 | 4 | 2 | 2:12 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | ARI | ARI 13 | 13 | 87 | 4:08 | Touchdown | |
| 10 | CLE | CLE 25 | 2 | 1 | 0:25 | End of half | |
| 11 | CLE | CLE 25 | 13 | 61 | 6:06 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | ARI | ARI 24 | 7 | 14 | 2:41 | Punt | |
| 13 | CLE | CLE 23 | 4 | 3 | 1:27 | Punt | |
| 14 | ARI | ARI 39 | 7 | 40 | 3:06 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | CLE | CLE 22 | 11 | 51 | 4:35 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | ARI | ARI 35 | 9 | 65 | 4:40 | Touchdown | |
| 17 | CLE | CLE 25 | 2 | 26 | 0:12 | Fumble | |
| 18 | ARI | CLE 30 | 6 | 27 | 1:55 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | CLE | CLE 9 | 21 | 101 | 3:57 | Touchdown | |
| 20 | ARI | CLE 45 | 3 | 2 | 1:21 | End of game |
0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 101 scrimmage yards over 21 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- CLE -3
- Closing total
- 49
- CLE moneyline
- -156
- ARI moneyline
- +140
Browns closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 49; the game landed 62 — over by 13.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- State Farm Stadium
- Roof / surface
- closed · grass
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Brad Allen
- Rest
- CLE 7 days · ARI 7 days
- Coaches
- Freddie Kitchens vs Kliff Kingsbury