2019 Week 15 · Mon, Dec 16, 2019 · Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Indianapolis Colts
7
New Orleans SaintsWinner
34
New Orleans Saints 34–7 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 5:27, NO +4% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(5:27) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left to 14-Z.Pascal to NO 41 for 7 yards (25-E.Apple). Pass 5, YAC 2
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 5:27NO +4% win prob(5:27) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left to 14-Z.Pascal to NO 41 for 7 yards (25-E.Apple). Pass 5, YAC 2
- Q2 · 14:12NO +4% win prob(14:12) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short right to 87-J.Cook to IND 15 for 18 yards (29-M.Hooker, 34-R.Ya-Sin). Pass 12, YAC 6
- Q1 · 12:51IND +3% win prob(12:51) 25-M.Mack left tackle to IND 45 for -3 yards (22-C.Gardner-Johnson).
- Q1 · 14:18NO +3% win prob(14:18) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett scrambles up the middle to IND 28 for 7 yards (94-C.Jordan).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Colts | Saints |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 52 | 60 |
| Total yards | 205 | 427 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 3.9 | 7.1 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.21 | 0.26 (edge) |
| Success rate | 33% | 55% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 69% | 50% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.21 | 0.72 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.22 | -0.20 (edge) |
| Third downs | 3/12 | 5/8 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 3 | 8 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 13 | 25 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 1 | 0 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
Saints won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.26 expected points added per play vs -0.21.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IND | IND 16 | 9 | 33 | 3:57 | Punt | |
| 2 | NO | IND 33 | 6 | 23 | 3:35 | Turnover on downs | |
| 3 | IND | IND 25 | 9 | 36 | 3:34 | Punt | |
| 4 | NO | NO 10 | 13 | 85 | 6:17 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | IND | IND 25 | 5 | 0 | 0:17 | Punt | |
| 6 | NO | NO 15 | 11 | 75 | 6:09 | Touchdown | |
| 7 | IND | IND 25 | 10 | 17 | 3:09 | Punt | |
| 8 | NO | NO 12 | 10 | 90 | 3:02 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | NO | NO 25 | 14 | 75 | 7:52 | Touchdown | |
| 10 | IND | IND 25 | 10 | 31 | 5:10 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | NO | NO 49 | 4 | 51 | 1:23 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | IND | IND 25 | 5 | 9 | 1:25 | Punt | |
| 13 | NO | NO 38 | 4 | 0 | 1:50 | Punt | |
| 14 | IND | IND 15 | 5 | 21 | 2:45 | Punt | |
| 15 | NO | NO 32 | 4 | 8 | 2:18 | Punt | |
| 16 | IND | IND 20 | 12 | 58 | 3:21 | Touchdown | |
| 17 | NO | NO 25 | 7 | 20 | 3:56 | End of game |
0 of 17 drives ended in points. Longest march: Saints gained 90 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a turnover on downs.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- NO -8
- Closing total
- 48.5
- IND moneyline
- +315
- NO moneyline
- -376
Saints closed -8 and covered, winning by 27.
Total closed 48.5; the game landed 41 — under by 7.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Mercedes-Benz Superdome
- Roof / surface
- dome · astroturf
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Shawn Hochuli
- Rest
- IND 8 days · NO 8 days
- Coaches
- Frank Reich vs Sean Payton