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2019 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 15, 2019 · AT&T Stadium

Los Angeles Rams

21

Dallas CowboysWinner

44

LA -1 upsetO 48.5 ✓Dome

Dallas Cowboys 44–21 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 11:49, DAL +17% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3DALLA
Q2 · 11:49LA DAL DAL ball · 2nd & 9LA 52%

(11:49) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep left to 10-T.Austin for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 11:49DAL +17% win prob(11:49) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep left to 10-T.Austin for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q1 · 1:53DAL +9% win prob(1:53) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 82-J.Witten for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q2 · 1:33LA +8% win prob(1:33) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle intended for 17-R.Woods INTERCEPTED by 50-S.Lee at LA 34. 50-S.Lee to LA 9 for 25 yards (34-M.Brown).
  4. Q2 · 15:00DAL +8% win prob(15:00) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 89-T.Higbee to DAL 7 for 26 yards (54-J.Smith).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricRamsCowboys
Offensive plays6967
Total yards292476 (edge)
Yards per play4.27.1 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.090.31 (edge)
Success rate46%54% (edge)
Dropback rate80%37%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.080.27 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.170.34 (edge)
Third downs4/127/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)210 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps2224 (edge)
Sacks taken20 (edge)
Turnovers30 (edge)

Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.31 expected points added per play vs -0.09.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LALA 408142:12Punt
2DALDAL 136181:54Punt
3LALA 227222:46Punt
4DALDAL 1016906:21Touchdown
5LALA 2511753:49Touchdown
6DALDAL 255751:21Touchdown
7LALA 25551:43Punt
8DALDAL 315977:57Touchdown
9LALA 25350:41Interception
10DALLA 9451:00Touchdown
11LALA 23200:16End of half
12DALDAL 259433:51Turnover on downs
13LALA 255-101:28Punt
14DALDAL 32451:57Punt
15LALA 1512493:59Fumble
16DALDAL 367403:49Turnover on downs
17LALA 255-51:17Punt
18DALDAL 1910576:59Turnover on downs
19LALA 2514773:23Touchdown
20DALLA 464460:17Touchdown
21LALA 4013602:20Touchdown
22DALDAL 25200:40End of game

0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 97 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LA -1
Closing total
48.5
LA moneyline
-115
DAL moneyline
+104

Rams closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 48.5; the game landed 65 — over by 16.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Walt Anderson
Rest
LA 7 days · DAL 10 days
Coaches
Sean McVay vs Jason Garrett