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2019 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 15, 2019 · MetLife Stadium

Miami Dolphins

20

New York GiantsWinner

36

NYG -3.5 ✓O 47 ✓19 mph wind

New York Giants 36–20. Biggest swing: Q3 10:21, MIA +17% win probability on one snap. Played in 19 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3NYG ↑MIA ↓
Q3 · 10:21MIA — NYG NYG ball · 3rd & 1NYG 82%

(10:21) 10-E.Manning pass short middle intended for 12-C.Latimer INTERCEPTED by 55-J.Baker at MIA 15. 55-J.Baker pushed ob at MIA 49 for 34 yards (76-N.Solder).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q3 · 10:21MIA +17% win prob(10:21) 10-E.Manning pass short middle intended for 12-C.Latimer INTERCEPTED by 55-J.Baker at MIA 15. 55-J.Baker pushed ob at MIA 49 for 34 yards (76-N.Solder).
  2. Q2 · 8:12NYG +14% win prob(8:12) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass deep middle to 15-G.Tate for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on MIA-40-N.Needham, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
  3. Q2 · 9:08NYG +12% win prob(9:08) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep middle to 11-D.Parker for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN [97-D.Lawrence II].
  4. Q1 · 2:24MIA +12% win prob(2:24) 42-P.Laird right guard to NYG 13 for -3 yards (24-J.Love, 94-D.Tomlinson).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricDolphinsGiants
Offensive plays6963
Total yards384412 (edge)
Yards per play5.66.5 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.070.06 (edge)
Success rate41%49% (edge)
Dropback rate70%48%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.010.06 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.250.07 (edge)
Third downs3/135/11 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)1011 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps2021 (edge)
Sacks taken31 (edge)
Turnovers1 (edge)3

Giants won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.06 expected points added per play vs -0.07.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1MIAMIA 3011394:20Turnover on downs
2NYGNYG 396-33:42Punt
3MIAMIA 3010524:40Turnover on downs
4NYGNYG 136442:31Punt
5MIAMIA 1110945:44Touchdown
6NYGNYG 255511:02Touchdown
7MIAMIA 257272:58Punt
8NYGNYG 18403:43Interception
9MIANYG 287220:36Turnover on downs
10NYGNYG 255200:44Interception
11NYGNYG 308653:07Touchdown
12MIAMIA 25450:20Fumble
13NYGMIA 33391:26Interception
14MIAMIA 495221:23Turnover on downs
15NYGNYG 256172:20Punt
16MIAMIA 31-20:04Turnover on downs
17NYGMIA 405401:03Touchdown
18MIAMIA 25501:04Punt
19NYGNYG 349664:19Touchdown
20MIAMIA 257312:09Punt
21NYGNYG 157214:08Punt
22MIAMIA 235142:02Turnover on downs
23NYGMIA 446441:54Touchdown
24MIAMIA 2510752:47Touchdown
25NYGNYG 325-21:08Punt
26MIAMIA 26150:46End of game

0 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Dolphins gained 94 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
NYG -3.5
Closing total
47
MIA moneyline
+165
NYG moneyline
-185

Giants closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 16.

Total closed 47; the game landed 56 — over by 9.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
48°F, wind 19 mph
Referee
Jerome Boger
Rest
MIA 7 days · NYG 6 days
Coaches
Brian Flores vs Pat Shurmur

Wind at 19 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.