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2019 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 15, 2019 · StubHub Center

Minnesota VikingsWinner

39

Los Angeles Chargers

10

MIN -1 ✓O 45 ✓

Minnesota Vikings 39–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 0:23, MIN +36% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3LAC ↑MIN ↓
Q2 · 0:23MIN — LAC LAC ball · 2nd & 2LAC 51%

(:23) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers sacked at MIN 36 for -10 yards (99-D.Hunter). FUMBLES (99-D.Hunter) [99-D.Hunter], touched at MIN 38, RECOVERED by MIN-95-I.Odenigbo at MIN 44. 95-I.Odenigbo for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 0:23MIN +36% win prob(:23) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers sacked at MIN 36 for -10 yards (99-D.Hunter). FUMBLES (99-D.Hunter) [99-D.Hunter], touched at MIN 38, RECOVERED by MIN-95-I.Odenigbo at MIN 44. 95-I.Odenigbo for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q2 · 1:02MIN +20% win prob(1:02) 8-K.Cousins pass short left intended for 31-A.Abdullah INTERCEPTED by 54-M.Ingram at LAC 34. 54-M.Ingram to LAC 43 for 9 yards (65-P.Elflein; 56-G.Bradbury).
  3. Q1 · 1:34MIN +13% win prob(1:34) 25-M.Gordon right end to LAC 11 for no gain (99-D.Hunter). FUMBLES (99-D.Hunter), RECOVERED by MIN-22-H.Smith at LAC 11. 22-H.Smith to LAC 11 for no gain (25-M.Gordon).
  4. Q1 · 6:54LAC +10% win prob(6:54) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass deep left to 81-M.Williams to MIN 29 for 39 yards (21-M.Hughes) [91-S.Weatherly].

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricVikingsChargers
Offensive plays5961
Total yards347 (edge)345
Yards per play5.9 (edge)5.7
Expected points added / play0.09 (edge)-0.45
Success rate41%46% (edge)
Dropback rate42%69%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.25 (edge)-0.41
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.02 (edge)-0.54
Third downs7/136/11 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)6 (edge)5
First downs gained on snaps1617 (edge)
Sacks taken0 (edge)3
Turnovers1 (edge)7

Vikings won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.09 expected points added per play vs -0.45.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1MINMIN 2512605:50Touchdown
2LACLAC 1511624:35Turnover on downs
3MINMIN 268252:23Punt
4LACLAC 4270:46Fumble
5MINLAC 11441:29Turnover on downs
6LACLAC 2512756:15Touchdown
7MINMIN 2511504:25Turnover on downs
8LACLAC 255142:19Interception
9MINLAC 494201:07Interception
10LACLAC 436190:44Defensive touchdown
11LACLAC 252120:07End of half
12LACLAC 25250:08Fumble
13MINLAC 264112:15Turnover on downs
14LACLAC 25531:28Punt
15MINLAC 417324:03Turnover on downs
16LACLAC 2314677:11Turnover on downs
17MINMIN 158964:30Touchdown
18LACLAC 25250:08Fumble
19MINLAC 104101:32Touchdown
20LACLAC 305241:33Interception
21MINMIN 209392:59Punt
22LACLAC 57522:25Interception
23MINMIN 14301:48End of game

0 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Vikings gained 96 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
MIN -1
Closing total
45
MIN moneyline
-118
LAC moneyline
+107

Vikings closed -1 and covered, winning by 29.

Total closed 45; the game landed 49 — over by 4.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
StubHub Center
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
64°F, wind 14 mph
Referee
Ronald Torbert
Rest
MIN 7 days · LAC 7 days
Coaches
Mike Zimmer vs Anthony Lynn