2019 Week 15 · Thu, Dec 12, 2019 · M&T Bank Stadium

New York Jets

Baltimore RavensWinner

BAL -17 ✓O 44 ✓Ravens closed -17 and covered, winning by 21.

Baltimore Ravens 42–21 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 13:36, NYJ +4% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 13:36NYJ — BAL NYJ ball · 4th & 5BAL 93%

(13:36) (Punt formation) 4-L.Edwards punts 48 yards to BAL 16, Center-42-T.Hennessy, fair catch by 16-D.Thomas.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 13:36NYJ +4% win prob(13:36) (Punt formation) 4-L.Edwards punts 48 yards to BAL 16, Center-42-T.Hennessy, fair catch by 16-D.Thomas.
Q1 · 13:43NYJ +2% win prob(13:43) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete short right to 17-V.Smith [53-J.Ward].
Q1 · 10:43NYJ +2% win prob(10:43) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson left end ran ob at NYJ 23 for 2 yards (27-D.Roberts).
Q1 · 15:00BAL +2% win prob9-J.Tucker kicks 68 yards from BAL 35 to NYJ -3. 88-T.Montgomery to NYJ 31 for 34 yards (16-D.Thomas).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Jets	Ravens
Offensive plays	58	59
Total yards	312	433 (edge)
Yards per play	5.4	7.3 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.15	0.41 (edge)
Success rate	43%	51% (edge)
Dropback rate	60%	46%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.17	0.68 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.12	0.19 (edge)
Third downs	6/14 (edge)	2/8
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	5	10 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	14	22 (edge)
Sacks taken	1	1
Turnovers	2	0 (edge)

Ravens won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.41 expected points added per play vs -0.15.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NYJ	NYJ 31	5	5	1:31	Punt
2	BAL	BAL 16	10	84	5:40	Touchdown
3	NYJ	NYJ 36	8	33	2:40	Turnover on downs
4	BAL	BAL 39	6	61	2:19	Touchdown
5	NYJ	NYJ 37	10	78	4:23	Touchdown
6	BAL	BAL 25	8	39	3:44	Touchdown
7	NYJ	NYJ 26	14	67	7:49	Turnover on downs
8	BAL	BAL 7	4	6	0:51	Punt
9	NYJ	BAL 41	4	16	0:45	Interception
10	BAL	BAL 17	1	0	0:18	End of half
11	BAL	BAL 25	5	7	1:40	Punt
12	NYJ	NYJ 32	4	8	1:34	Punt
13	BAL	BAL 20	6	21	3:25	Punt
14	NYJ	NYJ 15	5	9	3:01	Fumble
15	BAL	NYJ 24	3	24	0:11	Touchdown
16	NYJ	NYJ 26	5	3	1:13	Punt
17	BAL	BAL 20	8	90	2:58	Touchdown
18	NYJ	NYJ 22	6	18	1:52	Punt
19	BAL	BAL 3	5	10	1:59	Defensive touchdown
20	BAL	NYJ 44	7	44	2:09	Touchdown
21	NYJ	NYJ 36	6	66	2:23	Touchdown
22	BAL	BAL 38	5	7	2:22	Punt
23	NYJ	50	4	9	1:11	Turnover on downs
24	BAL	BAL 41	6	40	4:02	End of game

0 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Ravens gained 90 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: BAL -17
Closing total: 44
NYJ moneyline: +775
BAL moneyline: -1105

Ravens closed -17 and covered, winning by 21.

Total closed 44; the game landed 63 — over by 19.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 33°F, wind 3 mph
Referee: John Hussey
Rest: NYJ 4 days · BAL 4 days
Coaches: Adam Gase vs John Harbaugh