2019 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 15, 2019 · FedExField
Philadelphia EaglesWinner
37
Washington Commanders
27
Philadelphia Eagles 37–27. Biggest swing: Q4 6:40, PHI +24% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(6:40) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz sacked at PHI 28 for -5 yards (52-R.Anderson). FUMBLES (52-R.Anderson) [52-R.Anderson], touched at PHI 33, RECOVERED by WAS-93-Jon.Allen at PHI 34. 93-Jon.Allen to PHI 34 for no gain (62-J.Kel
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 6:40PHI +24% win prob(6:40) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz sacked at PHI 28 for -5 yards (52-R.Anderson). FUMBLES (52-R.Anderson) [52-R.Anderson], touched at PHI 33, RECOVERED by WAS-93-Jon.Allen at PHI 34. 93-Jon.Allen to PHI 34 for no gain (62-J.Kelce).
- Q4 · 13:43WAS +21% win prob(13:43) (Shotgun) 26-M.Sanders left end to WAS 19 for 56 yards (35-M.Nicholson).
- Q4 · 15:00WAS +17% win prob(15:00) 26-A.Peterson right end for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q4 · 0:32WAS +15% win prob(:32) 11-C.Wentz pass short left to 84-G.Ward for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Eagles | Commanders |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 73 | 51 |
| Total yards | 415 (edge) | 352 |
| Yards per play | 5.7 | 6.9 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.21 (edge) | 0.01 |
| Success rate | 53% (edge) | 45% |
| Dropback rate | 64% | 61% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.19 (edge) | -0.01 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.25 (edge) | 0.05 |
| Third downs | 11/16 (edge) | 4/10 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 5 | 7 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 24 (edge) | 17 |
| Sacks taken | 2 | 1 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 (edge) |
Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.21 expected points added per play vs 0.01.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WAS | WAS 18 | 11 | 39 | 5:57 | Punt | |
| 2 | PHI | PHI 5 | 16 | 87 | 7:40 | Turnover on downs | |
| 3 | WAS | WAS 25 | 3 | 75 | 0:12 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | PHI | PHI 25 | 12 | 70 | 6:18 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | WAS | WAS 25 | 9 | 56 | 2:55 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | PHI | PHI 29 | 5 | 0 | 0:34 | Punt | |
| 7 | WAS | WAS 35 | 4 | 6 | 1:21 | Punt | |
| 8 | PHI | PHI 20 | 8 | 32 | 3:17 | Punt | |
| 9 | WAS | WAS 9 | 8 | 40 | 1:06 | Punt | |
| 10 | PHI | PHI 2 | 1 | 5 | 0:40 | End of half | |
| 11 | PHI | PHI 25 | 5 | 7 | 1:32 | Punt | |
| 12 | WAS | WAS 11 | 4 | 5 | 1:33 | Punt | |
| 13 | PHI | PHI 34 | 13 | 56 | 6:02 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | WAS | WAS 25 | 12 | 75 | 6:00 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | PHI | PHI 25 | 10 | 75 | 4:54 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | WAS | WAS 45 | 7 | 30 | 1:57 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | PHI | PHI 25 | 4 | 8 | 1:34 | Fumble | |
| 18 | WAS | PHI 34 | 4 | 9 | 1:36 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | PHI | PHI 25 | 13 | 75 | 4:26 | Touchdown | |
| 20 | WAS | WAS 31 | 4 | 17 | 0:26 | Defensive touchdown |
0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 87 scrimmage yards over 16 plays for a turnover on downs.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- PHI -7
- Closing total
- 38
- PHI moneyline
- -286
- WAS moneyline
- +247
Eagles closed -7 and covered, winning by 10.
Total closed 38; the game landed 64 — over by 26.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- FedExField
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 52°F, wind 13 mph
- Referee
- Shawn Smith
- Rest
- PHI 6 days · WAS 7 days
- Coaches
- Doug Pederson vs Bill Callahan
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.