2019 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 15, 2019 · Bank of America Stadium
Seattle SeahawksWinner
30
Carolina Panthers
24
Seattle Seahawks 30–24. Biggest swing: Q2 12:38, CAR +7% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(12:38) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 10-J.Gordon to CAR 25 for 58 yards (25-E.Reid).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q2 · 12:38CAR +7% win prob(12:38) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 10-J.Gordon to CAR 25 for 58 yards (25-E.Reid).
- Q4 · 2:24CAR +7% win prob(2:24) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short right to 16-T.Lockett to SEA 38 for 14 yards (59-L.Kuechly). Penalty on CAR-24-J.Bradberry, Illegal Contact, declined.
- Q2 · 13:46CAR +5% win prob(13:46) (Shotgun) 22-C.McCaffrey up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q4 · 2:55CAR +5% win prob(2:55) (Shotgun) 32-C.Carson left guard to SEA 34 for 14 yards (33-T.Boston).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Seahawks | Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 61 | 71 |
| Total yards | 430 (edge) | 414 |
| Yards per play | 7.0 (edge) | 5.8 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.27 (edge) | 0.01 |
| Success rate | 48% | 54% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 49% | 65% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.48 (edge) | -0.03 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.07 | 0.09 (edge) |
| Third downs | 4/10 | 5/11 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 9 (edge) | 8 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 20 | 28 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 2 | 1 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 3 | 3 |
Seahawks won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.27 expected points added per play vs 0.01.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | SEA 25 | 10 | 75 | 4:34 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | CAR | CAR 25 | 5 | 7 | 0:44 | Punt | |
| 3 | SEA | SEA 20 | 9 | 85 | 4:20 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | CAR | CAR 25 | 14 | 75 | 6:39 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | SEA | SEA 25 | 8 | 80 | 3:34 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | CAR | CAR 25 | 5 | -8 | 1:31 | Punt | |
| 7 | SEA | SEA 34 | 6 | 17 | 2:27 | Punt | |
| 8 | CAR | CAR 8 | 8 | 40 | 4:20 | Punt | |
| 9 | SEA | SEA 10 | 4 | -5 | 0:19 | Fumble | |
| 10 | CAR | CAR 40 | 6 | 28 | 1:10 | Interception | |
| 11 | SEA | SEA 26 | 2 | -1 | 0:22 | End of half | |
| 12 | CAR | CAR 25 | 10 | 41 | 3:25 | Turnover on downs | |
| 13 | SEA | SEA 25 | 7 | 30 | 2:24 | Punt | |
| 14 | CAR | CAR 10 | 11 | 51 | 4:48 | Interception | |
| 15 | SEA | 50 | 2 | 4 | 0:47 | Interception | |
| 16 | CAR | CAR 13 | 2 | 5 | 0:41 | Interception | |
| 17 | SEA | CAR 21 | 4 | 14 | 2:27 | Turnover on downs | |
| 18 | CAR | CAR 25 | 6 | 16 | 1:48 | Punt | |
| 19 | SEA | SEA 18 | 12 | 82 | 6:22 | Touchdown | |
| 20 | CAR | CAR 25 | 11 | 75 | 2:25 | Touchdown | |
| 21 | SEA | SEA 35 | 5 | 5 | 0:28 | Punt | |
| 22 | CAR | CAR 16 | 8 | 84 | 1:11 | Touchdown | |
| 23 | SEA | SEA 25 | 8 | 44 | 3:14 | End of game |
0 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Seahawks gained 85 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- SEA -6
- Closing total
- 48.5
- SEA moneyline
- -250
- CAR moneyline
- +218
Seahawks closed -6 and it landed exactly on the number — a push.
Total closed 48.5; the game landed 54 — over by 5.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Bank of America Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 56°F, wind 5 mph
- Referee
- Carl Cheffers
- Rest
- SEA 7 days · CAR 7 days
- Coaches
- Pete Carroll vs Ron Rivera