2019 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 15, 2019 · Ford Field
Tampa Bay BuccaneersWinner
38
Detroit Lions
17
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 38–17 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q4 5:23, TB +16% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(5:23) (Shotgun) 10-D.Blough pass short left intended for 80-D.Amendola INTERCEPTED by 26-S.Bunting at TB 30. 26-S.Bunting for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 5:23TB +16% win prob(5:23) (Shotgun) 10-D.Blough pass short left intended for 80-D.Amendola INTERCEPTED by 26-S.Bunting at TB 30. 26-S.Bunting for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q4 · 8:04TB +7% win prob(8:04) 9-M.Gay 54 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
- Q1 · 7:30DET +6% win prob(7:30) 3-J.Winston pass deep middle to 19-B.Perriman for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q1 · 13:37TB +5% win prob(13:37) 71-E.Watford reported in as eligible. 27-R.Jones left tackle to DET 40 for 2 yards (29-R.Melvin). PENALTY on TB-72-J.Wells, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DET 42 - No Play.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Buccaneers | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 69 | 62 |
| Total yards | 496 (edge) | 296 |
| Yards per play | 7.2 (edge) | 4.8 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.26 (edge) | -0.37 |
| Success rate | 43% (edge) | 35% |
| Dropback rate | 64% | 77% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.57 (edge) | -0.45 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.30 | -0.09 (edge) |
| Third downs | 7/13 (edge) | 7/15 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 10 (edge) | 4 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 23 (edge) | 16 |
| Sacks taken | 2 | 2 |
| Turnovers | 1 (edge) | 3 |
Buccaneers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.26 expected points added per play vs -0.37.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TB | TB 30 | 5 | 33 | 2:24 | Interception | |
| 2 | DET | TB 44 | 4 | -3 | 0:52 | Punt | |
| 3 | TB | TB 21 | 9 | 79 | 4:19 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | DET | DET 25 | 6 | 7 | 1:51 | Punt | |
| 5 | TB | TB 1 | 6 | 99 | 1:52 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | DET | DET 25 | 5 | -3 | 2:06 | Punt | |
| 7 | TB | TB 25 | 6 | 31 | 2:21 | Punt | |
| 8 | DET | DET 13 | 4 | 1 | 1:35 | Punt | |
| 9 | TB | TB 33 | 10 | 72 | 4:27 | Touchdown | |
| 10 | DET | DET 25 | 12 | 49 | 4:56 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | TB | TB 25 | 8 | 6 | 2:03 | Punt | |
| 12 | DET | DET 36 | 4 | 5 | 0:43 | Punt | |
| 13 | TB | TB 20 | 5 | 16 | 0:31 | End of half | |
| 14 | DET | DET 25 | 6 | 25 | 1:59 | Interception | |
| 15 | TB | TB 33 | 5 | 39 | 1:29 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | DET | DET 25 | 13 | 80 | 4:47 | Touchdown | |
| 17 | TB | TB 25 | 10 | 22 | 3:51 | Punt | |
| 18 | DET | DET 13 | 8 | 87 | 2:57 | Touchdown | |
| 19 | TB | TB 26 | 12 | 53 | 6:58 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | DET | DET 44 | 5 | 21 | 2:47 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 21 | DET | DET 25 | 6 | 16 | 1:08 | Turnover on downs | |
| 22 | TB | DET 46 | 6 | 46 | 1:05 | Touchdown | |
| 23 | DET | DET 25 | 4 | 11 | 0:25 | Fumble | |
| 24 | TB | DET 31 | 4 | 0 | 1:59 | Turnover on downs | |
| 25 | DET | DET 32 | 1 | 0 | 0:35 | End of game |
0 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Buccaneers gained 99 scrimmage yards over 6 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- TB -5.5
- Closing total
- 46
- TB moneyline
- -239
- DET moneyline
- +210
Buccaneers closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 21.
Total closed 46; the game landed 55 — over by 9.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Ford Field
- Roof / surface
- dome · fieldturf
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Adrian Hill
- Rest
- TB 7 days · DET 7 days
- Coaches
- Bruce Arians vs Matt Patricia