2019 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 22, 2019 · FirstEnergy Stadium
Baltimore RavensWinner
31
Cleveland Browns
15
Baltimore Ravens 31–15. Biggest swing: Q1 7:16, BAL +10% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(7:16) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short right to 89-M.Andrews.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 7:16BAL +10% win prob(7:16) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short right to 89-M.Andrews.
- Q2 · 12:02CLE +9% win prob(12:02) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short left to 13-O.Beckham. PENALTY on BAL-22-J.Smith, Defensive Pass Interference, 12 yards, enforced at BAL 13 - No Play. Baltimore challenged the defensive pass interference ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #3.)
- Q2 · 4:06CLE +9% win prob(4:06) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 80-J.Landry ran ob at CLE 19 for 12 yards (24-M.Peters).
- Q2 · 1:24CLE +9% win prob(1:24) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep right to 89-M.Andrews for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Ravens | Browns |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 69 | 53 |
| Total yards | 483 (edge) | 242 |
| Yards per play | 7.0 (edge) | 4.6 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.28 (edge) | -0.14 |
| Success rate | 55% (edge) | 38% |
| Dropback rate | 49% | 68% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.43 (edge) | -0.02 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.13 (edge) | -0.39 |
| Third downs | 7/11 (edge) | 3/12 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 13 (edge) | 5 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 29 (edge) | 13 |
| Sacks taken | 0 (edge) | 1 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
Ravens won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.28 expected points added per play vs -0.14.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CLE | CLE 25 | 8 | 33 | 4:03 | Punt | |
| 2 | BAL | BAL 14 | 7 | 45 | 3:45 | Turnover on downs | |
| 3 | CLE | CLE 41 | 5 | 27 | 1:50 | Punt | |
| 4 | BAL | BAL 11 | 7 | 34 | 3:10 | Fumble | |
| 5 | CLE | BAL 45 | 10 | 22 | 5:19 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | BAL | BAL 9 | 7 | 21 | 2:52 | Punt | |
| 7 | CLE | CLE 21 | 4 | 13 | 2:15 | Punt | |
| 8 | BAL | BAL 35 | 5 | 20 | 1:48 | Punt | |
| 9 | CLE | CLE 3 | 7 | 17 | 3:08 | Punt | |
| 10 | BAL | BAL 37 | 3 | 63 | 0:32 | Touchdown | |
| 11 | CLE | CLE 25 | 5 | 0 | 0:23 | Punt | |
| 12 | BAL | BAL 25 | 8 | 75 | 0:46 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | CLE | CLE 24 | 2 | 0 | 0:09 | End of half | |
| 14 | BAL | BAL 31 | 15 | 69 | 7:24 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | CLE | CLE 25 | 11 | 41 | 4:11 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | BAL | BAL 25 | 13 | 65 | 6:53 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | CLE | CLE 25 | 11 | 72 | 3:31 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | BAL | BAL 16 | 10 | 69 | 4:22 | Touchdown | |
| 19 | CLE | CLE 21 | 4 | 17 | 0:52 | Interception | |
| 20 | BAL | BAL 20 | 7 | 22 | 2:47 | End of game |
0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Ravens gained 75 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- BAL -9.5
- Closing total
- 48.5
- BAL moneyline
- -370
- CLE moneyline
- +311
Ravens closed -9.5 and covered, winning by 16.
Total closed 48.5; the game landed 46 — under by 2.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- FirstEnergy Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 49°F, wind 10 mph
- Referee
- Alex Kemp
- Rest
- BAL 10 days · CLE 7 days
- Coaches
- John Harbaugh vs Freddie Kitchens
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.