2019 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 22, 2019 · Lincoln Financial Field

Dallas Cowboys

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

DAL -2 upsetU 47 ✓Cowboys closed -2 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Philadelphia Eagles 17–9. Biggest swing: Q3 10:19, DAL +18% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q3 · 10:19DAL — PHI DAL ball · 3rd & 1DAL 58%

(10:19) 20-T.Pollard left end to PHI 26 for -1 yards (91-F.Cox). Philadelphia challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 20-T.Pollard left end to PHI 26 for -1 yards (91-F.Cox). FUMBLES

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q3 · 10:19DAL +18% win prob(10:19) 20-T.Pollard left end to PHI 26 for -1 yards (91-F.Cox). Philadelphia challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 20-T.Pollard left end to PHI 26 for -1 yards (91-F.Cox). FUMBLES (91-F.Cox), RECOVERED by PHI-27-M.Jenkins at PHI 26. PHI-93-T.Jernigan was injured during the play.
Q4 · 1:21DAL +10% win prob(1:21) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep left to 13-M.Gallup (22-S.Jones). The Replay Official reviewed the play for possible defensive pass interference, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
Q3 · 2:39PHI +9% win prob(2:39) (No Huddle) 11-C.Wentz pass deep right to 84-G.Ward pushed ob at DAL 19 for 38 yards (25-X.Woods).
Q2 · 14:56PHI +8% win prob(14:56) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep left to 13-M.Gallup to PHI 38 for 41 yards (21-R.Darby).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Cowboys	Eagles
Offensive plays	62	70
Total yards	311	432 (edge)
Yards per play	5.0	6.2 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.16	0.05 (edge)
Success rate	45%	47% (edge)
Dropback rate	76%	63%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.11	0.18 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.32	-0.17 (edge)
Third downs	3/14	6/14 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4	6 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	16	22 (edge)
Sacks taken	2	1 (edge)
Turnovers	1	0 (edge)

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.05 expected points added per play vs -0.16.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PHI	PHI 25	12	62	5:28	Turnover on downs
2	DAL	DAL 18	5	7	1:39	Punt
3	PHI	PHI 37	8	63	3:50	Touchdown
4	DAL	DAL 25	5	7	1:15	Punt
5	PHI	PHI 29	4	6	2:32	Punt
6	DAL	DAL 21	7	48	2:20	Turnover on downs
7	PHI	PHI 34	9	33	3:34	Turnover on downs
8	DAL	DAL 33	5	20	2:03	Punt
9	PHI	PHI 12	7	18	3:57	Punt
10	DAL	DAL 20	5	16	1:30	Punt
11	PHI	PHI 34	6	41	1:23	Turnover on downs
12	DAL	DAL 43	5	43	0:26	Turnover on downs
13	PHI	—	1	0	0:03	End of half
14	DAL	DAL 25	11	49	4:48	Fumble
15	PHI	PHI 26	6	15	2:54	Punt
16	DAL	DAL 21	8	23	2:33	Punt
17	PHI	PHI 20	11	80	4:39	Touchdown
18	DAL	DAL 24	5	9	0:57	Punt
19	PHI	PHI 34	6	39	3:11	Turnover on downs
20	DAL	DAL 45	8	24	2:59	Turnover on downs
21	PHI	PHI 34	8	18	3:26	Punt
22	DAL	DAL 12	11	65	3:18	Turnover on downs
23	PHI	PHI 23	6	57	1:15	End of game

0 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 80 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: DAL -2
Closing total: 47
DAL moneyline: -120
PHI moneyline: +109

Cowboys closed -2 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 47; the game landed 26 — under by 21.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 47°F, wind 7 mph
Referee: Tony Corrente
Rest: DAL 7 days · PHI 7 days
Coaches: Jason Garrett vs Doug Pederson

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.