2019 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 22, 2019 · Empower Field at Mile High
Detroit Lions
17
Denver BroncosWinner
27
Denver Broncos 27–17. Biggest swing: Q3 3:56, DEN +14% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(3:56) 10-D.Blough pass short left to 19-K.Golladay for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q3 · 3:56DEN +14% win prob(3:56) 10-D.Blough pass short left to 19-K.Golladay for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q2 · 11:10DET +10% win prob(11:10) 6-C.Wadman punts 49 yards to DET 36, Center-42-C.Kreiter. 39-J.Agnew for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q1 · 11:27DEN +10% win prob(11:27) (Shotgun) 10-D.Blough pass deep right to 19-K.Golladay to DEN 11 for 35 yards (36-T.Marshall).
- Q3 · 1:01DEN +9% win prob(1:01) (Shotgun) 83-A.Beck pass short right to 30-P.Lindsay to DET 45 for 6 yards (90-T.Flowers). Handoff to DEN 83, Pass to DEN 30
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Lions | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 49 | 65 |
| Total yards | 191 | 351 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 3.9 | 5.4 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.09 | 0.16 (edge) |
| Success rate | 39% | 45% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 57% | 55% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.19 | 0.18 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.03 | 0.12 (edge) |
| Third downs | 4/11 | 5/12 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 2 | 6 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 11 | 21 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 4 | 0 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
Broncos won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.16 expected points added per play vs -0.09.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DET | DET 25 | 12 | 73 | 6:01 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | DEN | DEN 25 | 5 | 3 | 1:04 | Punt | |
| 3 | DET | DET 27 | 4 | 0 | 1:58 | Punt | |
| 4 | DEN | DEN 23 | 7 | 48 | 4:08 | Punt | |
| 5 | DET | DET 12 | 8 | 26 | 3:17 | Punt | |
| 6 | DEN | DEN 20 | 4 | 5 | 2:40 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 7 | DEN | DEN 25 | 11 | 65 | 4:48 | Touchdown | |
| 8 | DET | DET 25 | 5 | 1 | 0:59 | Punt | |
| 9 | DEN | DEN 27 | 11 | 42 | 4:40 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | DET | DET 25 | 2 | -3 | 0:25 | End of half | |
| 11 | DEN | DEN 47 | 12 | 45 | 4:37 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | DET | DET 25 | 13 | 75 | 6:32 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | DEN | DEN 25 | 13 | 62 | 5:43 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | DET | DET 25 | 7 | 14 | 2:12 | Punt | |
| 15 | DEN | DEN 39 | 8 | 61 | 4:17 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | DET | DET 25 | 5 | -6 | 1:20 | Punt | |
| 17 | DEN | DEN 18 | 4 | 9 | 2:24 | Punt | |
| 18 | DET | DET 16 | 6 | 11 | 1:08 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | DEN | DET 27 | 5 | 11 | 1:47 | End of game |
0 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Lions gained 75 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- DEN -9.5
- Closing total
- 40
- DET moneyline
- +333
- DEN moneyline
- -400
Broncos closed -9.5 and covered, winning by 10.
Total closed 40; the game landed 44 — over by 4.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Empower Field at Mile High
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 67°F, wind 3 mph
- Referee
- Craig Wrolstad
- Rest
- DET 7 days · DEN 7 days
- Coaches
- Matt Patricia vs Vic Fangio