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2019 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 22, 2019 · FedExField

New York GiantsWinner

41

Washington Commanders

35

NYG -1 ✓O 42 ✓

New York Giants 41–35. Biggest swing: OT 9:07, WAS +27% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3End Q4WASNYG
OT · 9:07NYG WAS NYG ball · 3rd & 7WAS 55%

(9:07) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass deep middle to 87-S.Shepard to WAS 40 for 23 yards (55-C.Holcomb) [90-M.Sweat].

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. OT · 9:07WAS +27% win prob(9:07) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass deep middle to 87-S.Shepard to WAS 40 for 23 yards (55-C.Holcomb) [90-M.Sweat].
  2. Q4 · 0:02NYG +21% win prob(:02) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass incomplete deep middle (30-T.Apke).
  3. Q4 · 0:10WAS +19% win prob(:10) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass deep left to 15-G.Tate pushed ob at WAS 45 for 16 yards (37-C.Sensabaugh). The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
  4. Q4 · 0:41WAS +16% win prob(:41) (Shotgun) 8-C.Keenum pass incomplete short right to 15-S.Sims (25-C.Ballentine). PENALTY on NYG-25-C.Ballentine, Defensive Pass Interference, 2 yards, enforced at NYG 3 - No Play.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricGiantsCommanders
Offensive plays6967
Total yards552 (edge)361
Yards per play8.0 (edge)5.4
Expected points added / play0.46 (edge)0.15
Success rate52% (edge)43%
Dropback rate67%63%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.55 (edge)0.36
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.27 (edge)-0.20
Third downs8/148/14
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)11 (edge)7
First downs gained on snaps24 (edge)23
Sacks taken1 (edge)3
Turnovers00

Giants won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.46 expected points added per play vs 0.15.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1NYGNYG 257752:39Touchdown
2WASWAS 2511754:44Touchdown
3NYGNYG 254750:51Touchdown
4WASWAS 2514756:50Touchdown
5NYGNYG 2512705:40Touchdown
6WASWAS 259343:34Punt
7NYGNYG 105161:49Punt
8WASWAS 19431:34Punt
9NYGNYG 2710581:41Touchdown
10WASWAS 30390:38End of half
11WASWAS 25873:16Punt
12NYGNYG 17411:25Punt
13WASWAS 408603:41Touchdown
14NYGNYG 277732:58Touchdown
15WASWAS 25561:34Punt
16NYGNYG 235152:28Punt
17WASNYG 17210:08Touchdown
18NYGNYG 257403:10Turnover on downs
19WASWAS 434-71:50Punt
20NYGNYG 137333:02Punt
21WASWAS 115985:59Touchdown
22NYGNYG 256300:29Turnover on downs
23NYGNYG 3412665:45Touchdown

0 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Commanders gained 98 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
NYG -1
Closing total
42
NYG moneyline
-112
WAS moneyline
+102

Giants closed -1 and covered, winning by 6.

Total closed 42; the game landed 76 — over by 34.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
FedExField
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
44°F, wind 6 mph
Referee
Ronald Torbert
Rest
NYG 7 days · WAS 7 days
Coaches
Pat Shurmur vs Bill Callahan

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.