2019 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 22, 2019 · MetLife Stadium
Pittsburgh Steelers
10
at
New York JetsWinner
16
PIT -3 upsetU 36.5 ✓
New York Jets 16–10. Biggest swing: Q2 0:09, NYJ +15% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
Q2 · 0:09PIT — NYJ PIT ball · 1st & 10NYJ 57%
(:09) (Shotgun) 2-M.Rudolph pass deep left to 18-D.Johnson for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q2 · 0:09NYJ +15% win prob(:09) (Shotgun) 2-M.Rudolph pass deep left to 18-D.Johnson for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q4 · 9:28PIT +14% win prob(9:28) (Shotgun) 6-D.Hodges Aborted. 67-B.Finney FUMBLES at NYJ 44, recovered by PIT-6-D.Hodges at NYJ 46. 6-D.Hodges to NYJ 46 for no gain (96-H.Anderson).
- Q1 · 5:53PIT +13% win prob(5:53) (Shotgun) 6-D.Hodges pass short middle intended for 89-V.McDonald INTERCEPTED by 93-T.Basham at NYJ 34. 93-T.Basham to NYJ 35 for 1 yard (19-J.Smith-Schuster).
- Q2 · 0:36PIT +13% win prob(:36) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold sacked at NYJ 42 for -7 yards (90-T.Watt). FUMBLES (90-T.Watt) [90-T.Watt], RECOVERED by PIT-90-T.Watt at NYJ 41.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Steelers | Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 66 | 59 |
| Total yards | 260 | 260 |
| Yards per play | 3.9 | 4.4 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.18 (edge) | -0.21 |
| Success rate | 29% | 32% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 64% | 49% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.12 (edge) | -0.14 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.28 | -0.27 (edge) |
| Third downs | 3/14 | 4/15 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 | 4 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 14 (edge) | 12 |
| Sacks taken | 4 | 2 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 (edge) |
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYJ | NYJ 25 | 13 | 64 | 4:33 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | PIT | PIT 21 | 9 | 34 | 4:42 | Interception | |
| 3 | NYJ | NYJ 35 | 4 | 8 | 1:42 | Punt | |
| 4 | PIT | PIT 15 | 4 | 5 | 2:11 | Punt | |
| 5 | NYJ | NYJ 41 | 7 | 23 | 2:37 | Turnover on downs | |
| 6 | PIT | PIT 25 | 8 | 41 | 3:54 | Interception | |
| 7 | NYJ | NYJ 20 | 4 | 3 | 1:01 | Punt | |
| 8 | PIT | PIT 14 | 7 | 20 | 3:22 | Punt | |
| 9 | NYJ | NYJ 40 | 4 | 4 | 2:16 | Punt | |
| 10 | PIT | PIT 14 | 10 | 55 | 2:24 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | NYJ | NYJ 15 | 5 | 26 | 0:50 | Fumble | |
| 12 | PIT | NYJ 41 | 4 | 36 | 0:24 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | NYJ | — | 1 | 0 | 0:04 | End of half | |
| 14 | PIT | PIT 30 | 7 | 10 | 3:21 | Punt | |
| 15 | NYJ | NYJ 19 | 10 | 62 | 5:09 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | PIT | PIT 26 | 5 | 6 | 1:38 | Punt | |
| 17 | NYJ | NYJ 19 | 4 | 6 | 1:33 | Punt | |
| 18 | PIT | PIT 42 | 7 | 18 | 2:43 | Punt | |
| 19 | NYJ | NYJ 10 | 7 | 9 | 2:11 | Punt | |
| 20 | PIT | PIT 39 | 8 | 23 | 4:47 | Punt | |
| 21 | NYJ | NYJ 22 | 9 | 57 | 5:27 | Turnover on downs | |
| 22 | PIT | PIT 25 | 5 | -4 | 1:18 | Punt | |
| 23 | NYJ | NYJ 34 | 4 | -2 | 0:26 | Punt | |
| 24 | PIT | PIT 40 | 6 | 16 | 0:48 | Turnover on downs | |
| 25 | NYJ | NYJ 44 | 1 | 0 | 0:39 | End of game |
0 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Jets gained 64 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- PIT -3
- Closing total
- 36.5
- PIT moneyline
- -171
- NYJ moneyline
- +153
Steelers closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 36.5; the game landed 26 — under by 10.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- MetLife Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · fieldturf
- Kickoff weather
- 45°F, wind 6 mph
- Referee
- Shawn Hochuli
- Rest
- PIT 7 days · NYJ 10 days
- Coaches
- Mike Tomlin vs Adam Gase