2019 Week 17 · Sun, Dec 29, 2019 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Arizona Cardinals
24
Los Angeles RamsWinner
31
Los Angeles Rams 31–24. Biggest swing: Q4 13:37, LA +15% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(13:37) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 89-T.Higbee for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 13:37LA +15% win prob(13:37) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 89-T.Higbee for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q3 · 4:47LA +11% win prob(4:47) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 14-D.Byrd for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q2 · 5:33ARI +11% win prob(5:33) 1-K.Murray FUMBLES (Aborted) at ARI 10, RECOVERED by LA-24-T.Rapp at ARI 8. 24-T.Rapp to ARI 8 for no gain (41-K.Drake).
- Q3 · 13:28ARI +9% win prob(13:28) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep right intended for 11-L.Fitzgerald INTERCEPTED by 31-D.Williams (48-T.Howard) at LA 11. 31-D.Williams to LA 11 for no gain (11-L.Fitzgerald).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Cardinals | Rams |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 60 | 78 |
| Total yards | 393 | 425 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 6.5 (edge) | 5.4 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.02 | 0.10 (edge) |
| Success rate | 45% (edge) | 44% |
| Dropback rate | 72% | 60% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.17 | 0.32 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.52 | -0.24 (edge) |
| Third downs | 5/10 | 11/18 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 9 (edge) | 8 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 18 | 21 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 1 | 1 |
| Turnovers | 5 | 0 (edge) |
Rams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.10 expected points added per play vs -0.02.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LA | LA 25 | 13 | 46 | 5:48 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | ARI | ARI 25 | 6 | 27 | 3:04 | Punt | |
| 3 | LA | LA 14 | 4 | 9 | 1:30 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | ARI | LA 22 | 3 | 22 | 0:44 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | LA | LA 31 | 6 | 24 | 2:19 | Punt | |
| 6 | ARI | ARI 9 | 4 | 1 | 1:07 | Punt | |
| 7 | LA | 50 | 12 | 47 | 4:34 | Touchdown | |
| 8 | ARI | ARI 33 | 5 | 2 | 2:13 | Punt | |
| 9 | LA | LA 11 | 7 | 34 | 3:08 | Punt | |
| 10 | ARI | ARI 16 | 1 | 0 | 0:05 | Fumble | |
| 11 | LA | ARI 8 | 4 | 18 | 1:39 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | ARI | ARI 22 | 7 | 39 | 1:22 | Fumble | |
| 13 | LA | LA 41 | 6 | 25 | 1:27 | Turnover on downs | |
| 14 | ARI | ARI 37 | 9 | 55 | 0:56 | Turnover on downs | |
| 15 | LA | LA 25 | 2 | 0 | 0:04 | End of half | |
| 16 | ARI | ARI 25 | 5 | 42 | 1:39 | Interception | |
| 17 | LA | LA 11 | 9 | 46 | 3:53 | Punt | |
| 18 | ARI | ARI 12 | 11 | 67 | 4:45 | Touchdown | |
| 19 | LA | LA 25 | 14 | 70 | 6:09 | Touchdown | |
| 20 | ARI | ARI 22 | 7 | 41 | 2:08 | Interception | |
| 21 | LA | LA 29 | 9 | 81 | 3:34 | Touchdown | |
| 22 | ARI | ARI 25 | 11 | 60 | 3:59 | Touchdown | |
| 23 | LA | LA 25 | 8 | 25 | 2:53 | Punt | |
| 24 | ARI | ARI 20 | 5 | 37 | 1:00 | Fumble |
0 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 81 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- LA -7
- Closing total
- 46
- ARI moneyline
- +235
- LA moneyline
- -271
Rams closed -7 and it landed exactly on the number — a push.
Total closed 46; the game landed 55 — over by 9.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 62°F, wind 0 mph
- Referee
- Jerome Boger
- Rest
- ARI 7 days · LA 7 days
- Coaches
- Kliff Kingsbury vs Sean McVay
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.