2019 Week 17 · Sun, Dec 29, 2019 · Empower Field at Mile High

Oakland Raiders

Denver BroncosWinner

DEN -5.5 no coverU 41.5 ✓31°FBroncos closed -5.5, won by 1 — but didn't cover.

Denver Broncos 16–15 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:07, OAK +31% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 0:07OAK — DEN LV ballDEN 57%

(Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 4-D.Carr pass to 13-H.Renfrow is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 0:07OAK +31% win prob(Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 4-D.Carr pass to 13-H.Renfrow is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.
Q4 · 0:11DEN +22% win prob(:11) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 13-H.Renfrow for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 2:17DEN +14% win prob(2:17) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 83-D.Waller to DEN 17 for 75 yards (34-W.Parks).
Q4 · 1:46OAK +10% win prob(1:46) 8-B.McManus 57 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-C.Wadman.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DEN	DEN 22	5	4	1:01	Punt
2	LV	LV 25	11	50	6:21	Turnover on downs
3	DEN	DEN 29	7	20	3:56	Punt
4	LV	LV 7	8	88	4:36	Turnover on downs
5	DEN	DEN 25	12	50	5:45	Turnover on downs
6	LV	LV 25	11	74	4:15	Turnover on downs
7	DEN	DEN 1	4	6	1:46	Punt
8	LV	LV 28	3	30	1:09	Fumble
9	DEN	LV 41	6	28	0:43	Touchdown
10	LV	LV 25	2	9	0:28	End of half
11	LV	LV 25	6	36	2:04	Punt
12	DEN	DEN 10	4	16	2:11	Punt
13	LV	LV 37	4	8	1:34	Punt
14	DEN	DEN 11	10	53	4:34	Turnover on downs
15	LV	LV 7	5	7	1:41	Punt
16	DEN	DEN 41	6	32	3:01	Turnover on downs
17	LV	LV 25	13	60	5:52	Turnover on downs
18	DEN	DEN 24	7	17	3:05	Fumble
19	LV	LV 41	5	49	2:49	Turnover on downs
20	LV	DEN 25	7	15	0:24	Punt
21	LV	LV 21	4	6	0:37	Turnover on downs
22	DEN	LV 27	4	8	0:27	Turnover on downs
23	LV	LV 47	9	50	1:34	Touchdown
24	DEN	50	2	0	0:07	End of game

0 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Raiders gained 88 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a turnover on downs.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: DEN -5.5
Closing total: 41.5
OAK moneyline: +195
DEN moneyline: -221

Broncos closed -5.5, won by 1 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 41.5; the game landed 31 — under by 10.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 31°F, wind 6 mph
Referee: Shawn Smith
Rest: OAK 7 days · DEN 7 days
Coaches: Jon Gruden vs Vic Fangio

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.