2019 Week 17 · Sun, Dec 29, 2019 · MetLife Stadium

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

New York Giants

PHI -4 ✓O 44 ✓Eagles closed -4 and covered, winning by 17.

Philadelphia Eagles 34–17 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q3 2:16, NYG +18% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q3 · 2:16PHI — NYG NYG ball · 1st & 10PHI 82%

(2:16) (Shotgun) 26-S.Barkley right tackle for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q3 · 2:16NYG +18% win prob(2:16) (Shotgun) 26-S.Barkley right tackle for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 13:12PHI +16% win prob(13:12) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones FUMBLES (Aborted) at NYG 22, and recovers at NYG 22. 8-D.Jones to NYG 20 for -2 yards (27-M.Jenkins). FUMBLES (27-M.Jenkins), touched at NYG 20, RECOVERED by PHI-91-F.Cox at NYG 3. 91-F.Cox to NYG 2 for 1 yard (8-D.Jones). Officially a rush for 0 yards.
Q3 · 9:50NYG +11% win prob(9:50) 8-D.Jones pass deep left to 15-G.Tate for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on PHI-32-R.Douglas, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
Q4 · 15:00NYG +11% win prob(15:00) 11-C.Wentz pass deep right to 16-D.Burnett pushed ob at NYG 32 for 41 yards (30-A.Hamilton).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Eagles	Giants
Offensive plays	72	72
Total yards	400 (edge)	397
Yards per play	5.6 (edge)	5.5
Expected points added / play	0.07 (edge)	-0.25
Success rate	39% (edge)	38%
Dropback rate	60%	72%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.16 (edge)	-0.11
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.07 (edge)	-0.61
Third downs	4/15	5/16 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	10 (edge)	8
First downs gained on snaps	23 (edge)	17
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	4
Turnovers	0 (edge)	2

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.07 expected points added per play vs -0.25.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PHI	PHI 7	12	55	4:43	Turnover on downs
2	NYG	NYG 39	5	16	2:19	Punt
3	PHI	PHI 18	9	69	4:19	Turnover on downs
4	NYG	NYG 26	5	-9	2:05	Punt
5	PHI	PHI 30	4	-6	1:03	Punt
6	NYG	NYG 32	4	6	1:42	Punt
7	PHI	PHI 19	6	27	3:45	Punt
8	NYG	NYG 3	4	7	1:01	Punt
9	PHI	PHI 46	4	6	1:37	Punt
10	NYG	NYG 14	7	52	2:10	Turnover on downs
11	PHI	PHI 25	10	75	3:24	Touchdown
12	NYG	NYG 17	10	36	1:29	Punt
13	PHI	PHI 10	4	6	0:23	Punt
14	NYG	NYG 24	12	71	5:19	Touchdown
15	PHI	PHI 25	6	-2	1:32	Punt
16	NYG	NYG 19	6	43	2:37	Turnover on downs
17	PHI	PHI 38	10	62	3:11	Touchdown
18	NYG	NYG 32	3	68	0:16	Touchdown
19	PHI	PHI 25	9	53	3:07	Turnover on downs
20	NYG	NYG 25	3	-3	0:55	Fumble
21	PHI	NYG 2	2	2	0:03	Touchdown
22	NYG	NYG 25	5	-4	1:24	Punt
23	PHI	PHI 34	4	7	1:35	Punt
24	NYG	NYG 31	4	8	2:08	Turnover on downs
25	PHI	NYG 38	5	38	1:39	Touchdown
26	NYG	NYG 24	9	47	3:05	Interception
27	PHI	PHI 9	4	8	1:04	Punt
28	NYG	NYG 37	11	59	2:05	End of game

0 of 28 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 75 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -4
Closing total: 44
PHI moneyline: -198
NYG moneyline: +176

Eagles closed -4 and covered, winning by 17.

Total closed 44; the game landed 51 — over by 7.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 42°F, wind 5 mph
Referee: Alex Kemp
Rest: PHI 7 days · NYG 7 days
Coaches: Doug Pederson vs Pat Shurmur

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.