2019 Week 17 · Sun, Dec 29, 2019 · AT&T Stadium

Washington Commanders

Dallas CowboysWinner

DAL -13 ✓O 47.5 ✓DomeCowboys closed -13 and covered, winning by 31.

Dallas Cowboys 47–16 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 14:02, WAS +8% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 14:02WAS — DAL DAL ball · 3rd & 6DAL 82%

(14:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott scrambles left end ran ob at DAL 38 for 9 yards (46-M.Smith). PENALTY on DAL-21-E.Elliott, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 29 - No Play.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 14:02WAS +8% win prob(14:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott scrambles left end ran ob at DAL 38 for 9 yards (46-M.Smith). PENALTY on DAL-21-E.Elliott, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 29 - No Play.
Q1 · 6:54WAS +8% win prob(6:54) (Shotgun) 8-C.Keenum pass short left to 26-A.Peterson to WAS 30 for no gain (43-M.Smith). FUMBLES (43-M.Smith), RECOVERED by DAL-25-X.Woods at WAS 30. 25-X.Woods to WAS 21 for 9 yards (26-A.Peterson; 84-D.Kidsy).
Q2 · 14:43WAS +7% win prob(14:43) 4-D.Prescott sacked at DAL 14 for -4 yards (90-M.Sweat). FUMBLES (90-M.Sweat) [90-M.Sweat], RECOVERED by WAS-51-S.Hamilton at DAL 16. 51-S.Hamilton to DAL 16 for no gain (4-D.Prescott).
Q1 · 5:18DAL +5% win prob(5:18) (Field Goal formation) 3-K.Forbath 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, Holder-6-C.Jones.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Commanders	Cowboys
Offensive plays	59	71
Total yards	271	518 (edge)
Yards per play	4.6	7.3 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.45	0.20 (edge)
Success rate	34%	44% (edge)
Dropback rate	66%	52%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.61	0.22 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.14	0.18 (edge)
Third downs	1/12	8/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6	13 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	12	22 (edge)
Sacks taken	2 (edge)	3
Turnovers	2	1 (edge)

Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.20 expected points added per play vs -0.45.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DAL	DAL 25	5	12	2:09	Punt
2	WAS	WAS 29	3	0	0:16	Interception
3	DAL	WAS 36	10	31	4:54	Turnover on downs
4	WAS	WAS 25	3	5	0:58	Fumble
5	DAL	WAS 21	4	-8	1:28	Turnover on downs
6	WAS	WAS 25	12	57	5:26	Turnover on downs
7	DAL	DAL 18	2	-2	0:15	Fumble
8	WAS	DAL 16	4	3	0:57	Turnover on downs
9	DAL	DAL 25	9	85	2:36	Touchdown
10	WAS	WAS 25	5	-8	1:33	Punt
11	DAL	DAL 30	4	-4	1:26	Punt
12	WAS	DAL 44	4	5	1:28	Turnover on downs
13	DAL	DAL 39	7	76	2:44	Touchdown
14	WAS	WAS 26	12	59	3:16	Touchdown
15	DAL	DAL 25	5	36	0:34	End of half
16	WAS	WAS 18	7	58	3:06	Turnover on downs
17	DAL	DAL 25	9	75	3:37	Touchdown
18	WAS	WAS 25	6	65	1:17	Turnover on downs
19	DAL	DAL 27	8	43	2:53	Turnover on downs
20	WAS	WAS 25	5	-9	1:15	Punt
21	DAL	DAL 47	5	53	2:00	Touchdown
22	WAS	WAS 25	6	29	2:15	Turnover on downs
23	DAL	WAS 49	4	49	0:51	Touchdown
24	WAS	WAS 25	5	2	1:44	Punt
25	DAL	DAL 6	15	72	8:22	Turnover on downs
26	WAS	WAS 25	5	5	2:14	Punt
27	DAL	DAL 20	1	0	0:26	End of game

0 of 27 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 85 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: DAL -13
Closing total: 47.5
WAS moneyline: +485
DAL moneyline: -621

Cowboys closed -13 and covered, winning by 31.

Total closed 47.5; the game landed 63 — over by 15.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface: closed · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Craig Wrolstad
Rest: WAS 7 days · DAL 7 days
Coaches: Bill Callahan vs Jason Garrett

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.