2019 Wild Card · Sun, Jan 5, 2020 · Lincoln Financial Field
Seattle SeahawksWinner
17
Philadelphia Eagles
9
Seattle Seahawks 17–9. Biggest swing: Q2 1:36, PHI +24% win probability on one snap. Played in 17 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(1:36) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short right to 83-D.Moore to PHI 5 for 38 yards (27-M.Jenkins) [53-N.Bradham].
Highest-leverage plays
- Q2 · 1:36PHI +24% win prob(1:36) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short right to 83-D.Moore to PHI 5 for 38 yards (27-M.Jenkins) [53-N.Bradham].
- Q3 · 8:55PHI +15% win prob(8:55) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 14-DK.Metcalf for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q4 · 6:24SEA +12% win prob(6:24) (Shotgun) 18-J.McCown pass incomplete short left to 26-M.Sanders.
- Q4 · 4:03PHI +12% win prob(4:03) 18-J.McCown pass incomplete deep left to 83-S.Gibson (21-T.Flowers). PENALTY on SEA-21-T.Flowers, Defensive Pass Interference, 39 yards, enforced at PHI 48 - No Play.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Seahawks | Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 54 | 61 |
| Total yards | 385 (edge) | 282 |
| Yards per play | 7.1 (edge) | 4.6 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.21 (edge) | -0.17 |
| Success rate | 37% (edge) | 33% |
| Dropback rate | 65% | 61% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.55 (edge) | -0.24 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.41 | -0.05 (edge) |
| Third downs | 8/14 (edge) | 3/11 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 10 (edge) | 8 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 14 | 16 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 1 (edge) | 7 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
Seahawks won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.21 expected points added per play vs -0.17.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | SEA 28 | 5 | 6 | 1:33 | Punt | |
| 2 | PHI | PHI 22 | 4 | 2 | 1:00 | Punt | |
| 3 | SEA | SEA 46 | 7 | 37 | 2:46 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | PHI | PHI 25 | 6 | 6 | 3:24 | Punt | |
| 5 | SEA | SEA 24 | 10 | 51 | 4:48 | Turnover on downs | |
| 6 | PHI | PHI 25 | 7 | 14 | 2:39 | Punt | |
| 7 | SEA | SEA 15 | 8 | 58 | 5:04 | Punt | |
| 8 | PHI | PHI 8 | 13 | 64 | 5:53 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | SEA | SEA 18 | 11 | 77 | 1:47 | Touchdown | |
| 10 | PHI | PHI 25 | 4 | 1 | 1:06 | End of half | |
| 11 | PHI | PHI 25 | 8 | 52 | 4:24 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | SEA | SEA 19 | 7 | 81 | 1:50 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | PHI | PHI 25 | 12 | 55 | 5:57 | Turnover on downs | |
| 14 | SEA | SEA 25 | 11 | 32 | 5:36 | Punt | |
| 15 | PHI | PHI 12 | 10 | 69 | 5:52 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | SEA | SEA 24 | 4 | 7 | 1:25 | Punt | |
| 17 | PHI | PHI 31 | 7 | 19 | 3:00 | Turnover on downs | |
| 18 | SEA | SEA 11 | 6 | 36 | 1:56 | End of game |
0 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Seahawks gained 81 scrimmage yards over 7 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- PHI -1
- Closing total
- 44
- SEA moneyline
- +108
- PHI moneyline
- -119
Eagles closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 44; the game landed 26 — under by 18.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Lincoln Financial Field
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 41°F, wind 17 mph
- Referee
- Shawn Smith
- Rest
- SEA 7 days · PHI 7 days
- Coaches
- Pete Carroll vs Doug Pederson
Wind at 17 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.