2019 Wild Card · Sat, Jan 4, 2020 · Gillette Stadium
Tennessee TitansWinner
20
New England Patriots
13
Tennessee Titans 20–13. Biggest swing: Q4 2:54, NE +17% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(2:54) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short left to 86-A.Firkser to TEN 26 for 11 yards (25-T.Brooks).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 2:54NE +17% win prob(2:54) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short left to 86-A.Firkser to TEN 26 for 11 yards (25-T.Brooks).
- Q4 · 0:15TEN +15% win prob(:15) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right intended for 14-M.Sanu Sr. INTERCEPTED by 26-L.Ryan (35-T.Brock) at NE 9. 26-L.Ryan for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q4 · 15:00TEN +11% win prob(15:00) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep right intended for 84-C.Davis INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Harmon at NE 41. 21-D.Harmon ran ob at NE 41 for no gain. NE 21-Harmon 4th career postseason Int, ties Law for 3rd in franchise history.
- Q4 · 4:51TEN +9% win prob(4:51) 6-B.Kern punts 30 yards to NE 11, Center-48-B.Brinkley, out of bounds.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Titans | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 58 | 59 |
| Total yards | 272 | 307 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 4.7 | 5.2 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.01 (edge) | -0.10 |
| Success rate | 43% (edge) | 39% |
| Dropback rate | 31% | 63% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.09 | -0.08 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.05 (edge) | -0.12 |
| Third downs | 6/12 (edge) | 5/13 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 | 8 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 19 (edge) | 17 |
| Sacks taken | 1 | 0 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 1 (edge) | 2 |
Patriots outgained Titans 307–272 but lost the turnover battle 2–1. That was the game.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | NE 25 | 9 | 57 | 2:23 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | TEN | TEN 25 | 14 | 80 | 6:58 | Touchdown | |
| 3 | NE | NE 25 | 12 | 75 | 5:42 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | TEN | TEN 15 | 5 | 7 | 1:35 | Punt | |
| 5 | NE | NE 24 | 7 | 23 | 4:09 | Punt | |
| 6 | TEN | TEN 10 | 4 | 7 | 1:13 | Punt | |
| 7 | NE | TEN 47 | 10 | 44 | 5:44 | Turnover on downs | |
| 8 | TEN | TEN 25 | 9 | 75 | 1:41 | Touchdown | |
| 9 | NE | NE 25 | 7 | 23 | 0:35 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | TEN | TEN 27 | 8 | 16 | 3:37 | Punt | |
| 11 | NE | NE 13 | 7 | 20 | 3:21 | Punt | |
| 12 | TEN | TEN 43 | 5 | -4 | 2:31 | Punt | |
| 13 | NE | NE 7 | 7 | 32 | 3:01 | Punt | |
| 14 | TEN | TEN 20 | 5 | 12 | 2:38 | Interception | |
| 15 | NE | NE 41 | 5 | 7 | 2:07 | Punt | |
| 16 | TEN | TEN 20 | 11 | 46 | 8:01 | Punt | |
| 17 | NE | NE 11 | 5 | 26 | 1:34 | Punt | |
| 18 | TEN | TEN 13 | 8 | 33 | 2:55 | Punt | |
| 19 | NE | NE 1 | 1 | 0 | 0:06 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 20 | NE | — | 1 | 0 | 0:09 | Fumble |
0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Titans gained 80 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- NE -4.5
- Closing total
- 45
- TEN moneyline
- +190
- NE moneyline
- -214
Patriots closed -4.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 45; the game landed 33 — under by 12.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Gillette Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 44°F, wind 4 mph
- Referee
- John Hussey
- Rest
- TEN 6 days · NE 6 days
- Coaches
- Mike Vrabel vs Bill Belichick