2019 Divisional Round · Sun, Jan 12, 2020 · Arrowhead Stadium

Houston Texans

Kansas City ChiefsWinner

KC -10 ✓O 50.5 ✓Chiefs closed -10 and covered, winning by 20.

Kansas City Chiefs 51–31 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 8:05, HOU +22% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 8:05HOU — KC HOU ballHOU 54%

7-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to HOU 0. 14-D.Carter to HOU 21 for 21 yards (49-D.Sorensen). FUMBLES (49-D.Sorensen), RECOVERED by KC-34-D.Thompson at HOU 24. 34-D.Thompson pushed ob at HOU 6 for 18 yards (35-K.Cro

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 8:05HOU +22% win prob7-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to HOU 0. 14-D.Carter to HOU 21 for 21 yards (49-D.Sorensen). FUMBLES (49-D.Sorensen), RECOVERED by KC-34-D.Thompson at HOU 24. 34-D.Thompson pushed ob at HOU 6 for 18 yards (35-K.Crossen).
Q2 · 10:00KC +19% win prob(10:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 26-Dam.Williams for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 2:20KC +17% win prob(2:20) 9-B.Anger punts 47 yards to KC 9, Center-46-J.Weeks. 10-T.Hill MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by HOU-35-K.Crossen at KC 6.
Q1 · 10:13HOU +12% win prob(10:13) 2-D.Colquitt punt is BLOCKED by 52-B.Mingo, Center-41-J.Winchester, RECOVERED by HOU-32-L.Johnson at KC 10. 32-L.Johnson for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Texans	Chiefs
Offensive plays	77	54
Total yards	442 (edge)	437
Yards per play	5.7	8.1 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.02	0.38 (edge)
Success rate	44%	48% (edge)
Dropback rate	77%	74%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.07	0.57 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.13 (edge)	-0.15
Third downs	5/15 (edge)	2/7
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	8	13 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	22	25 (edge)
Sacks taken	5	1 (edge)
Turnovers	1	0 (edge)

Texans outgained Chiefs 442–437 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	HOU	HOU 25	8	75	3:01	Touchdown
2	KC	KC 21	5	9	1:53	Defensive touchdown
3	KC	KC 18	8	37	2:58	Punt
4	HOU	HOU 15	9	29	4:59	Punt
5	HOU	KC 6	3	6	0:48	Touchdown
6	KC	KC 19	5	0	0:32	Punt
7	HOU	HOU 49	9	48	4:55	Turnover on downs
8	KC	HOU 42	4	42	0:59	Touchdown
9	HOU	HOU 25	5	8	1:27	Turnover on downs
10	KC	HOU 33	4	5	0:23	Touchdown
11	KC	—	2	2	0:09	Fumble
12	KC	HOU 6	3	4	1:25	Touchdown
13	HOU	HOU 25	8	27	3:44	Punt
14	KC	KC 10	9	75	2:03	Touchdown
15	HOU	HOU 23	6	44	0:44	Turnover on downs
16	KC	KC 15	9	85	3:36	Touchdown
17	HOU	HOU 26	5	8	2:50	Punt
18	KC	KC 23	7	53	3:55	Touchdown
19	HOU	HOU 25	11	75	4:15	Touchdown
20	KC	KC 28	6	72	1:32	Touchdown
21	HOU	HOU 25	7	33	2:15	Turnover on downs
22	KC	KC 42	7	52	3:31	Turnover on downs
23	HOU	HOU 25	10	21	3:13	Turnover on downs
24	KC	KC 42	4	1	1:04	Punt
25	HOU	HOU 7	13	68	2:15	Turnover on downs
26	KC	KC 25	3	0	1:34	End of game

0 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chiefs gained 85 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: KC -10
Closing total: 50.5
HOU moneyline: +376
KC moneyline: -461

Chiefs closed -10 and covered, winning by 20.

Total closed 50.5; the game landed 82 — over by 31.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Arrowhead Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · astroturf
Kickoff weather: —
Referee: Shawn Hochuli
Rest: HOU 8 days · KC 14 days
Coaches: Bill O'Brien vs Andy Reid