2019 Divisional Round · Sat, Jan 11, 2020 · Levi's Stadium
Minnesota Vikings
10
San Francisco 49ersWinner
27
San Francisco 49ers 27–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 2:49, MIN +8% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(2:49) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right intended for 19-D.Samuel INTERCEPTED by 54-E.Kendricks at SF 33. 54-E.Kendricks to SF 29 for 4 yards (19-D.Samuel).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q2 · 2:49MIN +8% win prob(2:49) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right intended for 19-D.Samuel INTERCEPTED by 54-E.Kendricks at SF 33. 54-E.Kendricks to SF 29 for 4 yards (19-D.Samuel).
- Q1 · 5:30SF +7% win prob(5:30) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep left to 14-S.Diggs for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF 19. 19-yac
- Q1 · 2:07SF +6% win prob(2:07) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass deep right to 84-K.Bourne to MIN 36 for 16 yards (34-A.Sendejo) [99-D.Hunter]. Caught at MIN 36. 0-yac
- Q2 · 11:39SF +6% win prob(11:39) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 19-D.Samuel to MIN 41 for 14 yards (55-A.Barr; 29-X.Rhodes). Caught at MIN 44. 3-yac
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Vikings | 49ers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 45 | 66 |
| Total yards | 147 | 310 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 3.3 | 4.7 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.45 | -0.01 (edge) |
| Success rate | 24% | 52% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 78% | 32% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.44 | -0.03 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.49 | 0.00 (edge) |
| Third downs | 2/12 | 5/12 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 2 | 5 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 6 | 22 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 6 | 2 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 1 (edge) | 3 |
49ers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.01 expected points added per play vs -0.45.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | MIN 25 | 5 | 2 | 1:19 | Punt | |
| 2 | SF | SF 39 | 9 | 61 | 4:11 | Touchdown | |
| 3 | MIN | MIN 21 | 9 | 71 | 4:07 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | SF | SF 25 | 12 | 30 | 5:31 | Punt | |
| 5 | MIN | MIN 12 | 4 | -2 | 2:07 | Punt | |
| 6 | SF | SF 47 | 11 | 58 | 5:35 | Touchdown | |
| 7 | MIN | MIN 43 | 5 | 4 | 2:25 | Punt | |
| 8 | SF | SF 8 | 4 | 11 | 2:04 | Interception | |
| 9 | MIN | SF 29 | 6 | 8 | 2:10 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | SF | SF 25 | 2 | 0 | 0:31 | End of half | |
| 11 | SF | SF 37 | 10 | 46 | 4:18 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | MIN | MIN 33 | 4 | 1 | 0:53 | Interception | |
| 13 | SF | MIN 44 | 9 | 44 | 4:55 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | MIN | MIN 28 | 5 | 6 | 1:28 | Punt | |
| 15 | SF | SF 17 | 4 | 9 | 2:21 | Punt | |
| 16 | SF | MIN 10 | 4 | 7 | 1:52 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | MIN | MIN 34 | 5 | -5 | 1:31 | Punt | |
| 18 | SF | SF 14 | 4 | 6 | 1:42 | Punt | |
| 19 | MIN | MIN 44 | 4 | -4 | 2:01 | Punt | |
| 20 | SF | SF 21 | 6 | 28 | 4:27 | Punt | |
| 21 | MIN | MIN 20 | 7 | 40 | 2:03 | Turnover on downs | |
| 22 | SF | SF 40 | 4 | 10 | 0:44 | Fumble | |
| 23 | MIN | 50 | 5 | 26 | 1:29 | Turnover on downs | |
| 24 | SF | SF 24 | 1 | 0 | 0:16 | End of game |
0 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Vikings gained 71 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- SF -7
- Closing total
- 44.5
- MIN moneyline
- +276
- SF moneyline
- -323
49ers closed -7 and covered, winning by 17.
Total closed 44.5; the game landed 37 — under by 7.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Levi's Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 56°F, wind 11 mph
- Referee
- Walt Anderson
- Rest
- MIN 6 days · SF 13 days
- Coaches
- Mike Zimmer vs Kyle Shanahan