2019 Divisional Round · Sat, Jan 11, 2020 · M&T Bank Stadium
Tennessee TitansWinner
28
Baltimore Ravens
12
Tennessee Titans 28–12. Biggest swing: Q3 8:37, BAL +14% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(8:37) (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry up the middle to BAL 06 for 66 yards (24-M.Peters).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q3 · 8:37BAL +14% win prob(8:37) (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry up the middle to BAL 06 for 66 yards (24-M.Peters).
- Q3 · 10:01TEN +14% win prob(10:01) 8-L.Jackson up the middle to TEN 18 for no gain (58-H.Landry).
- Q2 · 0:18BAL +13% win prob(:18) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep right to 15-M.Brown to TEN 04 for 38 yards (37-A.Hooker).
- Q1 · 8:02TEN +13% win prob(8:02) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle intended for 89-M.Andrews INTERCEPTED by 31-K.Byard at TEN 19. 31-K.Byard pushed ob at 50 for 31 yards (8-L.Jackson). PENALTY on BAL-8-L.Jackson, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at 50.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Titans | Ravens |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 51 | 92 |
| Total yards | 302 | 530 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 5.9 (edge) | 5.8 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.22 (edge) | -0.15 |
| Success rate | 45% (edge) | 41% |
| Dropback rate | 33% | 77% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.21 (edge) | -0.11 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.23 (edge) | -0.28 |
| Third downs | 7/13 | 11/18 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 | 9 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 14 | 29 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 1 (edge) | 4 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 3 |
Ravens outgained Titans 530–302 but lost the turnover battle 3–0. That was the game.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TEN | TEN 25 | 7 | 20 | 3:18 | Punt | |
| 2 | BAL | BAL 20 | 7 | 44 | 3:53 | Interception | |
| 3 | TEN | BAL 35 | 9 | 29 | 4:13 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | BAL | BAL 25 | 7 | 20 | 3:43 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | TEN | BAL 45 | 2 | 45 | 0:08 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | BAL | BAL 26 | 5 | 2 | 1:12 | Punt | |
| 7 | TEN | TEN 28 | 6 | 9 | 2:20 | Punt | |
| 8 | BAL | BAL 10 | 12 | 59 | 5:21 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | TEN | TEN 19 | 7 | 36 | 3:20 | Punt | |
| 10 | BAL | BAL 5 | 14 | 91 | 2:32 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | BAL | BAL 24 | 14 | 68 | 5:05 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | TEN | TEN 19 | 7 | 81 | 3:01 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | BAL | BAL 25 | 2 | -5 | 0:10 | Fumble | |
| 14 | TEN | BAL 20 | 7 | 20 | 2:28 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | BAL | BAL 25 | 9 | 39 | 2:31 | Interception | |
| 16 | TEN | TEN 27 | 5 | 29 | 1:56 | Punt | |
| 17 | BAL | BAL 12 | 11 | 83 | 3:45 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | TEN | TEN 17 | 10 | 28 | 4:39 | Punt | |
| 19 | BAL | BAL 20 | 10 | 69 | 1:58 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | TEN | TEN 16 | 4 | 5 | 1:42 | Punt | |
| 21 | BAL | BAL 24 | 10 | 60 | 1:56 | Turnover on downs | |
| 22 | TEN | TEN 22 | 2 | 0 | 0:49 | End of game |
0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Ravens gained 91 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a turnover on downs.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- BAL -10
- Closing total
- 47.5
- TEN moneyline
- +361
- BAL moneyline
- -439
Ravens closed -10 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 47.5; the game landed 40 — under by 7.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- M&T Bank Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 69°F, wind 12 mph
- Referee
- Bill Vinovich
- Rest
- TEN 7 days · BAL 13 days
- Coaches
- Mike Vrabel vs John Harbaugh