2020 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 13, 2020 · Bank of America Stadium

Las Vegas RaidersWinner

Carolina Panthers

LV -3 ✓O 48 ✓Raiders closed -3 and covered, winning by 4.

Las Vegas Raiders 34–30. Biggest swing: Q4 8:41, CAR +32% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 8:41LV — CAR CAR ball · 2nd & 8LV 79%

(8:41) (Shotgun) 5-T.Bridgewater pass deep right to 11-R.Anderson for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on LV-20-D.Arnette, Defensive Holding, declined.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 8:41CAR +32% win prob(8:41) (Shotgun) 5-T.Bridgewater pass deep right to 11-R.Anderson for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on LV-20-D.Arnette, Defensive Holding, declined.
Q4 · 1:23LV +19% win prob(1:23) 40-A.Armah up the middle to LV 46 for no gain (96-C.Ferrell; 42-C.Littleton).
Q4 · 5:06CAR +13% win prob(5:06) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass incomplete deep left to 13-H.Renfrow (24-R.Douglas). PENALTY on CAR-52-T.Whitehead, Defensive Pass Interference, 18 yards, enforced at CAR 35 - No Play.
Q1 · 6:30CAR +13% win prob(6:30) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 11-H.Ruggs pushed ob at CAR 1 for 45 yards (33-T.Boston).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Raiders	Panthers
Offensive plays	61	66
Total yards	372	390 (edge)
Yards per play	6.1 (edge)	5.9
Expected points added / play	0.25 (edge)	0.12
Success rate	56% (edge)	45%
Dropback rate	49%	61%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.36 (edge)	0.17
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.14 (edge)	0.04
Third downs	6/11 (edge)	7/13
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6 (edge)	4
First downs gained on snaps	21	22 (edge)
Sacks taken	0 (edge)	1
Turnovers	0	0

Raiders won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.25 expected points added per play vs 0.12.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CAR

Teddy BridgewaterQB

22/34, 269 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

6.4 expected points added · +0.5% completion over expected

Passing · LV

Derek CarrQB

22/30, 239 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

10.8 expected points added · +9.0% completion over expected

Rushing · CAR

Christian McCaffreyRB

23 att, 97 yds, 2 TD

3.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LV

Josh JacobsRB

25 att, 93 yds, 3 TD

3.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CAR

Robbie ChosenWR

6/8 for 114 yds, 1 TD

24% of team targets · 7.4 expected points added

Receiving · LV

Henry RuggsWR

3/5 for 55 yds, 0 TD

18% of team targets · 2.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	LV	LV 25	5	5	0:56	Punt
2	CAR	CAR 37	8	34	4:02	Turnover on downs
3	LV	LV 25	10	75	4:15	Touchdown
4	CAR	CAR 37	12	63	4:50	Touchdown
5	LV	LV 25	16	73	7:44	Turnover on downs
6	CAR	CAR 25	8	22	3:10	Turnover on downs
7	LV	LV 25	10	75	3:09	Touchdown
8	CAR	CAR 25	12	62	1:54	Turnover on downs
9	CAR	CAR 11	5	7	2:18	Punt
10	LV	LV 49	6	25	3:04	Turnover on downs
11	CAR	CAR 24	5	-10	0:34	Punt
12	LV	CAR 49	7	43	3:35	Touchdown
13	CAR	CAR 25	18	90	7:57	Touchdown
14	LV	LV 25	8	11	3:05	Punt
15	CAR	CAR 23	3	79	0:58	Touchdown
16	LV	LV 25	11	57	4:21	Touchdown
17	CAR	CAR 30	6	24	2:57	Turnover on downs
18	LV	LV 46	4	8	1:03	Punt
19	CAR	CAR 27	2	19	0:08	End of game

0 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Panthers gained 90 scrimmage yards over 18 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Las Vegas Raiders

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Derek Carr	22/30	239	1	0	0	10.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Josh Jacobs	25	93	3.7	3	3.0
Devontae Booker	4	29	7.3	0	1.0
Henry Ruggs	2	11	5.5	0	0.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Henry Ruggs	3	5	55	0	18%	2.7
Josh Jacobs	4	6	46	0	21%	1.5
Darren Waller	6	8	45	0	29%	2.3
Devontae Booker	3	3	23	0	11%	0.7
Nelson Agholor	1	1	23	1	4%	3.5
Hunter Renfrow	2	2	21	0	7%	2.4
Jalen Richard	1	1	15	0	4%	0.3
Bryan Edwards	1	1	9	0	4%	0.7
Jason Witten	1	1	2	0	4%	-1.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Johnathan Abram	9	4	0.0	0
Nick Kwiatkoski	4	2	0.0	0
Cory Littleton	3	3	0.0	0
Trayvon Mullen	3	3	0.0	1
Erik Harris	2	3	0.0	0
Nicholas Morrow	3	2	0.0	0
Damon Arnette	3	2	0.0	1
Lamarcus Joyner	3	1	0.0	1
Maurice Hurst	1	2	0.5	0
Isaiah Johnson	2	1	0.0	0

Carolina Panthers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Teddy Bridgewater	22/34	269	1	0	1	6.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Christian McCaffrey	23	97	4.2	2	3.1
Teddy Bridgewater	4	26	6.5	0	0.5
Curtis Samuel	1	5	5.0	0	-0.0
Alex Armah	2	1	0.5	0	-2.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Robbie Chosen	6	8	114	1	24%	7.4
D.J. Moore	4	9	54	0	26%	0.5
Christian McCaffrey	3	4	38	0	12%	2.8
Curtis Samuel	5	8	38	0	24%	-1.3
Ian Thomas	2	2	16	0	6%	1.0
Seth Roberts	1	2	5	0	6%	-1.9
Chris Manhertz	1	1	4	0	3%	-0.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	PD
Shaq Thompson	5	7	0
Jeremy Chinn	7	1	0
Troy Pride	4	3	0
Tahir Whitehead	4	2	0
Tre Boston	5	1	0
Brian Burns	3	1	0
Kawann Short	2	2	0
Derrick Brown	1	1	2
Bravvion Roy	1	1	0
Juston Burris	1	1	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LV -3
Closing total: 48
LV moneyline: -124
CAR moneyline: +134

Raiders closed -3 and covered, winning by 4.

Total closed 48; the game landed 64 — over by 16.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Bank of America Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 81°F, wind 5 mph
Referee: Brad Allen
Rest: LV 7 days · CAR 7 days
Coaches: Jon Gruden vs Matt Rhule